The Whirled Baseball League

Baseball The Way It Never Was

TWIWBL 95.4: The Rule V Draft

There was some very interesting talent available through the Rule V Draft, and some teams decided to use it quite aggressively. Remember, these players need to stay on their new team’s WBL roster all year, or they revert to their original team.

It should be interesting …

Note that gaps in the picks indicate teams skipped their turn.

PickTeamClaimsFromNotes
1PORCF Paul HinesBALOF depth. Unlikely to stick.
2MEMRP Ed SewardMEMSure, could make it. Good MiL stats.
3CAG1B Mickey VernonPORThe search for a replacement for the injured Frank Thomas continues.
4LAA2B Billy HermanHODA dark horse to be the steal of the draft. Should claim starting role in ST.
5BBBSS Dick GroatHOMSmart pick for a team starved for MI talent.
6NYGSS Billy NashDETNash did fine for DET, but was blocked there. Could have a legit shot to stick with the Gothams.
7OTTP Nip WintersHOMThis one could hurt–both teams are desperate for SP.
8HOMRP Logan HensleyDETShrug.
11KANP Earl HamiltonHOMCombine this with Winters, and the Grays could rue this day.
12MCGP Sam McDowellCLEA smart pick, McDowell could easily last the season in Miami
16PHI3B Buddy MyerINDDecent utility IF, could work.
18NYYP Jeff RobinsonINDUnlikely to survive in NY.
21PORSS Leo CardenasBBBGiven how weak POR’s MI is, this could work.
23CAG1B Tino MartinezOTTMore 1B hedging–clearly CAG thinks it is cheaper to throw a lot of options out in ST than acquire after opening day.
26NYGOF Tip O’NeillHODNice pick, should be able to hang around given the weakness of the Gothams’ OF.

TWIWBL 95.3: The Rookie Draft

One of my favorite things each year. The WBL Rookie Draft is always a bit “juiced,” with both some high end talent and some historical “decent” players, but there is plenty of dross here as well in the later rounds.

We’ll cover the first 3 rounds pick-by-pick here, then rounds 4-10 team by team.

A reminder: each team can make 2 picks outside of players historically associated with their seed franchises; the rest (until the tail end of the draft) must come from players that spent a significant period of their career with them.

OOTP does its usual fun on whether these picks actually sign, so news on that will hit future TWIWBL’s.

We are moving towards the 2002 season, for reference. Debut is, of course, an estimate.

#Round 1

Note that Round 1 contained 2 compensation picks for picks from last year’s draft that refused to sign.

PickTeamPlayer & AgePosDebutNote
1.1MCGPedro Martínez (19)P2004Currently a reliever, his live arm warrants a move to the rotation at some point.
1.2MEMJim Rice (18)OF2005Joins a system stocked with young OF, so some trades loom at some point. But, saves an exception pick, which has some value.
1.3CAGZack Greinke (20)P2004Perhaps solves a need for arms; refused to sign last year.
1.4LAARod Carew (19)2B2005Incredibly weak IF system gets a significant boost. At some point, 1B gets crowded, but that’s a problem many years down the road.
1.5SFSJohn Smoltz (19)P2005The rich get richer.
1.6NYGAmos Rusie (18)P2002The best pitcher who looks WBL ready right now. Also a franchise pick.
1.7OTTJim McCormick (21)P2003A gamble, but OTT is desperate for SP.
1.8HOMDavid Cone (19)P2004Another franchise that needs rotation help.
1.9BALJose Altuve (17)2B2006One for the future, but potentially solves the position.
1.10HODJuan Soto (18)OF2004Honestly surprised he fell this far, Soto will cause some issues on the roster, but they’ll be well worth solving.
1.11KCMChris Carpenter (19)P2005More pitching needed, as always.
1.12MCGJack Glasscock (20)SS2004An interesting pick. First potential flop of the draft, but his arrival should coincide well with MCG’s needs as Robin Yount moves out of the middle infield.
1.13NYYGiancarlo Stanton (18)OF2005Not likely to stay with NYY due to a draft-day deal with NYG for Gaylord Perry. That’s dependent on Stanton signing, though.
1.14HODBingo DeMoss (21)2B2004A worthy successor to Ryne Sandberg.
1.15INDDave Winfield (21)OF2003A bit of a steal for the ABC’s.
1.16HODGeorge Zettlein (27)P2002Having used their exceptions, the HOD’s choices were quite limited. Here, they opted for some immediate help, hopefully.
1.17HOUEd Morris (20)P2003Houston will soon have an embarrassment of rotation riches–which should serve them quite well.
1.18PHIDarryl Strawberry (18)OF2003Another pick that will lead to a crowded roster, but Strawberry’s peak is too attractive to ignore.
1.19CLETodd Helton (22)1B2003A long-term solution to an aging position for the Spiders.
1.20PORJack Fournier (16)1B2006A big bat, but a long ways away.
1.21BRKBrett Butler (22)OF2004A safe pick, and perhaps overvalued here.
1.22SFSDick McBride (24)P2003More help on the mound for the Sea Lions.

#Round 2

PickTeamPlayer & AgePosDebutNote
2.1OTTRobbie Ray (20)P2004The peak is attractive.
2.2BBBYoenis Céspedes (27)OF2002Some immediate help for a somewhat crowded OF.
2.3CAGJosé Quintana (20)P2005More long term rotation help.
2.4LAACharlie Leibrandt (21)2B2005More pitching depth. Spot a pattern?
2.5HODPat Luby (20)P2004With their exceptions used up, the pool thins out quickly.
2.6LAAGarry Templeton (19)SS2005Templeton didn’t sign with HOU last year, he find himself in an organization more desperate for MI help this year.
2.7OTTBilly Jurges (21)SS2003Maybe a hedge against Álex Rodríguez’ eventual shift to 3B?
2.8CAGJosh Hader (19)P2005Eventual closer possibility for a team that should need it.
2.9KCMBill Sherdel (20)P2005A surprise pick. We’ll see.
2.10BBBRon Gant (18)SS2007BBB traded up to get Gant who, while a few years away, does project as a decent corner OF.
2.11KCMAllen Sothoron (20)P2005More pitching, constrained by franchise history.
2.12PORJosh Johnson (18)P2006Development needed, but decent upside.
2.13INDJohnny Allen (24)P2002A potential steal, as Allen could help this season.
2.14BALJouett Meekin (22)P2003Another intriguing selection–immediate help, if not a lot of extended value.
2.15HOUPaul Splittorf (22)P2004Decent mid-rotation talent.
2.16PORBob Groom (23)P2003More medium talent with potential near-term impact.
2.17CLETommy Corcoran (17)SS2006A pick for the future, but not a bad bet.
2.18HOUTommy Harper (20)OF2005HOU has an affection for these multi-position, roster extended options.
2.19BRKZane Smith (21)P2005Brooklyn believes deeply in stockpiling arms and letting them develop, Smith fits that profile.
2.20SFSJimmie Lyons (20)OF2003No room for him in SFS, but his talent is undeniable.

We’re quickly moving to less immediately impactful names, so we’ll do the rest of the draft as team summaries.

TeamRounds 1-2Rounds 3-12GradeGrade/ Notes
BALJose Altuve (2B), Jouett Meekin (P)Billy Lush (OF), Terry Crowley (1B), Herm Starrette (P), Levin Jones (OF), Eddy Rodríguez (P), Gosuke Katoh (1B), Earl Cook (P), Jerry Hinsley (P), Candy Sierra (P)CAltuve is great, but very young. Not a lot from the rest, although Crowley has some pop in his bat.
BBBYoenis Céspedes (OF)Steve Cishek (P), Ricardo Hernández (3B), Ed Hanyzewski (P), Grant Dayton (P), Lefty Wallace (P), Harry Hulihan (P), Zach Vincej (SS), Jake Smith (P), Dale Roberts (P), Kid Baldwin (C), Brandon Larson (3B)CHernández has some potential, but this is not a great draft, even if Céspedes comes good somewhat immediately.
BRKBrett Butler (OF), Zane Smith (P)Jerry Garvin (P), Lew McCarty (C), Mickey Hughes (P), Davis Daniel (P), Joe Evers (1B), Marvell Wynne (OF), Ed Albosta (P), Shaun Anderson (P)BA good job. Butler will have a WBL career, and both Smith and Garvin have live arms. Wynne may be a steal as well.
CAGZack Greinke (P), José Quintana (P), Josh Hader (P)Bob Priddy (P), Dominic Fletcher (OF), Mike Caruso (SS), Harry Clark (3B), Ross Gload (OF), Mem Lovett (1B), Rómulo Sánchez (P), Al Kellett (P), Hugh Canavan (P), Vaughn Eshelman (P)A-The first 3 picks are all excellent additions to a system starved for pitching. Not a lot else, although Caruso and Gload may have some potential.
CLETodd Helton (1B), Tommy Corcoran (SS)Julián Tavárez (P), Emil Levsen (P), Abraham Almonte (2B), Chauncey Fisher (P), Jerry Fahr (P), Cotton Knaupp (SS), Dalton Jones (2B), Juan Castillo (2B), Rabbit Benton (2B)B+Helton solves a long-term issue, the rest seems fine, with Tavárez being a decent pickup.
DETRiley Greene (OF), Kid Madden (P), Jakie May (P), Howie Krist (P), Nate Cornejo (P), Bill Barrett (C), Jess Pike (P), Ambrose McGann (2B), Bud Smith (P), Otto Jacobs (C), Jeter Downs (2B)CNo picks in the first 2 rounds hurts a lot, but Greene could be a steal for the Wolverines.
HODJuan Soto (OF), Bingo DeMoss (2B), George Zettlein (P), Pat Luby (P), Ron Gant (SS)Terry Larkin (P), Vern Olsen (P), Billy Holland (SS/P), Elmer Yoter (3B), Steven Hill (C), Harry East (3B), Lev Shreve (P), Phonney Martin (OF)ACould be transformational. Soto is a generational talent, DeMoss a clear succession plan for Ryne Sandberg, and even Holland has some intriguing potential as a 2-way player.
HOMDavid Cone (P)Cliff Chambers (P), Bob Walk (P), Jimmy Ripple (OF), Red Witt (P), Jeff Wallace (P), Harry Jordan (P), Bill Hallman (OF), Larry Ciaffone (OF), Jaycob Brugman (OF), Jeff Doyle (2B)BCone is a great pick, but there’s not a lot else here.
HOUEd Morris (P), Paul Splittorff (P), Tommy Harper (2B)Lou Piniella (OF), Ken Suarez (C), Jim Wohlford (SS), José Cisnero (P), Mike Hedlund (P), Clint Hurdle (C), Danny Bautista (OF), Rance Pless (1B), Bob Friedrichs (P), Ricky Gutiérrez (SS), Mauro Zárate (P), Rod Gilbreath (3B), Gene Moriarity (OF)B+Could be higher, depending on how Morris develops. Lots of potentially useful marginal pieces in later rounds–Piniella, Hurdle, Gutiérrez.
INDDave Winfield (OF), Johnny Allen (P)Gary Redus (OF), Tex McDonald (SS), Dusty Miller (OF), Billy McCool (P), Chub Sullivan (1B), Tom Wiedenbauer (OF), Jackson Tetreault (P), Logan Allen (P), Mike Champion (2B)AWinfield being available was shocking. Allen and Redus being added makes the draft a surprising success.
KCMChris Carpenter (P), Bill Sherdel (P), Allen Sothoron (P)Casey Kotchman (1B), Tex Pruiett (P), Fred Holdsworth (P), Gerónimo Peña (2B), Otto Schomberg (1B), Wish Egan (P), Pete Naton (C), Tom Donohue (C), Harley Dillinger (P)CWeird. Lots of franchise picks, but not a ton of actual value behind Carpenter.
LAARod Carew (2B), Charlie Leibrandt (P), Garry Templeton (SS)Steve Henderson (OF), Jack DiLauro (P), Mike Trost (C), Dennis Ribant (P), Lou Pote (P), Zach Lutz (3B), Dave Pierson (C), Doc Land (OF), Rubén Quevedo (P), Francisco Peña (c)B+Sure. Carew fills an obvious need, as does Templeton.
MEMJim Rice (OF)Sam Jethroe (OF), Joe Hornung (OF), John Healy (P), Hal Rhyne (SS), Joe Ellick (3B), Joe Cicero (OF), Jerry Mallett (OF), Iván Cruz (1B), Sam Childs (1B), Tony Balsamo (P), Harry Smith (2B)BAnother young OF? Really, Memphis? And after that, adding Jethroe to Rice? There better be some trades a-coming.
MCGPedro Martínez (P), Jack Glasscock (SS)Jesús Lazardo (P), Bobby Vaughn (2B), Erasmo Ramírez (P), Jing Johnson (P), Billy Redmon (SS), Scott Olsen (P), Steven Ames (P), Mario Ramírez (SS), Francis Martes (P), George Milstead (P)AAny draft that gets you Martínez is an A. But … Glasscock may be an overreach.
NYGAmos Rusie (P)Red Murray (OF), Dave Veres (P), Harry McCormick (P), Alvin Davis (1B), Kiko Calero (P), Frank West (P), Luis Castillo (P), Héctor Sánchez (C), Andy Rincon (P), Ed Wilkinson (OF), William Coon (OF), Kevin Collins (3B)CLove me some Rusie, and he’ll help right away … but the rest … Veres and Calero fit with the Gothams’ bullpen obsession.
NYYGiancarlo Stanton (OF)John Kruk (1B), Rich Coggins (OF), John Shaffer (P), Frank Gilhooley (OF), John Ryan Murphy (C), Dutch Rudolph (OF), Marcus Wilson (OF), Darrell Johnson (C), Roy Witherup (P), Mike Shea (P)DStanton is headed out of town, making this a much weaker draft, even if Kruk looks like a solid bat. Still, the Black Yankees never have cared about the draft, so perhaps that’s unfair: if Perry brings them a championship, they’ll see this as a great draft, no matter what Stanton does.
OTTJim McCormick (P), Robbie Ray (P), Billy Jurges (SS)Al Woods (OF), Jesse Carlson (P), Wilton Guerrero (2B), Ed Atkinson (OF), Dane Myers (OF), Bill Collver (OF), Orlando Mercado (C), Emanuel Snyder (OF)CMaybe? They need arms, so maybe?
PHIDarryl Strawberry (OF)Harry Eisenstat (P), Andy Hansen (P), Ben Tincup (P), Jack Scheible(P), Pat Bohen (P), Doc Amole (P), Ben Froehlich (C), John Peters (OF), Fred Buckingham (P), Andy Sommerville (P), Joe Schultz (C), Travis Swaggerty (OF)C-The Strawberry pick makes total sense. The rest … not so much.
PORJack Fournier (1B), Josh Johnson (P), Bob Groom (P)Steve Brye (OF), Rich Reese (1B), David Hulse (OF), Joe Gedeon (OF), Kyle Garlick (OF), Carlos Pascual (P), Moe Berg (SS), Bill Sarni (C), Terry Humphrey (C), Jesús Montero (C), Babe Ellison (1B)CTalk about looking to the future … Fournier has a future, but he’s 16. And the run on catchers at the end is just downright odd.
SFSJohn Smoltz (P), Dick McBride (P), Jimmie Lyons (OF)Joe Dunand (2B), Kevin Kobel (P), Nate Mondou (2B), Hank Hulvey (P), Bert Kuczynski (P), Jerar Encarnación (OF), Greg Aquino (P), Dorn Taylor (P), Art Smith (P)AI mean … how did they do this? Smoltz is a rotation arm, Lyons has immense talent.

TWIWBL 95.2: Winter Meeting Trades

While there is a blockbuster, these were actually a pretty quiet Winter Meetings, with only four deals being made.

The Big One

MEM sends OF Mookie Betts, C Billy Bryan, P Jim Kaat, 3rd Round Pick to BRK for P Don Drysdale, P Red Ruffing, 5th Round Pick.

We start off with pretty much a blockbuster: Red Ruffing‘s signing turns out to be a sign and trade as Ruffing and disgruntled starter Don Drysdale head to Memphis for OF Mookie Betts, backup C Billy Bryan, and minor league P Jim Kaat. Brooklyn sends a 5th round pick and Memphis will send a 3rd round pick to even out the deal.

It turns out Drysdale was furious at being surpassed as the #1 starter for Brooklyn, and will now bring his near-manic intensity to the Red Sox, immediately stepping into the top of their rotation along with Stubby Overmire.

Cuban Giants Address Current Need

MCG sends P Jon Matlack, 2nd Round Pick to HOD for P CC Sabathia, 5th Round Pick.

The Cuban Giants addressed a clear need, bringing swingman CC Sabathia over from the House of David. They gave up a prized pitching prospect in Jon Matlack, and took the worst of a pick exchange (a 2nd for a 5th) to bring in Sabathia, who looks to have a shot at the Cuban Giants’ rotation if has a good Spring.

Coming Back Home

OTT sends P Dan Collins, 3rd Round Pick to MCG for P Steve Rogers.

This was about getting Rogers back to his historical franchise to see how that developed.

The Sea Lions Commit Even More

SFS sends IF Royce Clayton to POR for P Trevor Hoffman.

Portland entered these conversations hoping to get back draft picks; instead they ended up with a possible middle infielder for the future–look for an open competition with Clayton and Hughie Jennings in the Spring, while Hoffman walks into a dream situation–no pressure on a near guaranteed contender.

TWIWBL 95.1 – The Winter Meetings

December 10th

Welcome to the true beginning of Year III of the WBL! We start with the Winter Meetings, and will continue through the Rookie Draft and the Rule V Draft, on our way to Spring Training.

I want to take a moment here to pull the curtain back a little. I’m sure everyone that does these kind of extended, solo play projects has, from time to time, wished they had a partner, a co-commissioner of sorts that could help make judgement calls, look for patterns, initiate trades, etc.

So I’ve tried to build one in Claude. I know some of you may peace out of this thread at this point, but I also wanted to disclose its use. Note that all of the writing and all of the decision making in the WBL remains mine.

This has been, perhaps, the most frustrating thing I’ve ever done with AI. There are two primary obstacles: first, limiting Claude’s view to the OOTP universe and second, overriding Claude’s deeply rooted programming to always agree and to instantly change it’s mind at the faintest whiff of pushback.

CoPilot totally failed on the former, but Claude–with a lot of work on guideline files and the like–does well there. But the second thing … oh my effing god … we’re still trying to find ways to address this.

Anyhow, it’s been an interesting project, and I assume that, as both I get better at the structural architecture beneath the hood and Anthropic continues to improve the product, it will eventually be a stable, pleasant thing.

Onto some team by team notes from the Winter Meetings.

#Baltimore Black Sox

Looking to shore up their bullpen, the Black Sox splashed on a 3 year contract for Jeff Montgomery.

#Chicago American Giants

Chicago signed Hank Aguirre on a 2-year deal for a little less than $600,000–a reasonable flier to take on a starter who was good in 2000, then injured.

#Homestead Grays

The Grays signed Brook Jacoby for some veteran insurance at 3B.

#New York Gothams

In their eternal search for starting pitchers, the Gothams agreed to a 1 year deal with Vic Raschi worth just under $1M.

#Wandering House of David

The House of David signed Dellin Betances, hoping to bolster their bullpen. The 28 year old inked a 3 year, $2.1M contract–pretty reasonable.

TWIWBL 94.1

December 3rd

#Brooklyn Royal Giants

And the rich get richer … Brooklyn has wooed Red Ruffing–an All Star last season–away from the cross town Black Yankees. Ruffing’s arrival, on a 3 year deal worth nearly $30M, would seem to be an initial domino, as the Royal Giants look to turn some of their pitching excess into better offense.

#Indianapolis ABC’s

Looking for options to backup Johnny Bench, the ABC’s signed Charlie Bennett to a 3 year, $5.6M deal. At worst, Bennett offers a strong defensive option, at best a moderately active bat.

TWIWBL 93.2: THE ROOKIE DRAFT, Year 2 – The Preview

This year, the Rookie Draft will be 8 rounds in length. The natural draft pool has been enhanced with a handful of top 1000 career and single season performers by WAR, as well as a few entries from i9s.

Each team may make 2 “free” picks, meaning they can select anyone in the draft. For the rest of their selections, they are limited to players historically attached (meaning, a significant amount of their playing time) to their franchises. Once they’ve made 8 picks (2 free and 6 franchise), these restrictions are lifted, although preference is still given to franchise appropriate selections.

Here are the teams, listed in the draft order, and their number of picks per round in the draft:

Team12345678Tot
POR1212111110
MEM12211119
CAG1231119
LAA12121119
BBB1211218
NYG1411119
OTT12111118
HOM1211117
BAL11111117
HOD312111110
KCM12111118
MCG213118
IND11111117
DET2111117
HOU1222111111
PHI12111118
CLE11111117
NYY1211117
BRK1111116
SFS21111118
NYY and HOD have additional 1st round picks due to FA losses; HOU has an additional 3rd round pick.

A few things jump out from that:

  • There’s a little bit of the rich getting richer with San Francisco’s 2 1st rounders and Houston’s draft-leading 11 total picks.
  • The House of David are in probably the best position, with 6 picks in the first 3 rounds.
  • Brooklyn, Detroit, and Homestead need to draft well to maximize challenging positions, either in total number of picks or their distribution.

Here’s how the AI sees the top twenty prospects, along with the franchises that are eligible to draft them without expending one of their “free” picks.

#NamePosAgeFranchises
1Rod Carew2B19LAA, POR
2Ed MorrisLHP20HOM
3Jim RiceCF18MEM
4Amos RusieRHP18NYG
5Darryl StrawberryCF18LAA
6Jim McCormickRHP21CLE, HOD
7Jack GlasscockSS20CLE, IND, KCM, NYG
8Tommy Harper2B20IND, OTT, MEM
9Ben TincupRHP20PHI
10Bingo DeMoss2B21CAG, HOD, IND
11Joe HornungOF20MEM
12Brett ButlerRF22BRK, CLE, NYG
13Jimmy RippleCF25NYG
14John HealyRHP23
15Pedro MartínezRHP19MEM, OTT, LAA
16Bob GroomRHP23POR, BAL
17Steve HendersonLF23LAA
18Otto Schomberg1B21
19Giancarlo StantonOF18MCG, NYY
20George ZettleinRHP27CAG, PHI

That is, of course, a really odd list in places (Jimmy Ripple, anyone?). So here are the next 15, in no particular order and according to me.

#NamePosAgeFranchises
1Jack Fournier1B16CAG, BRK, KCM
2Todd Helton1B22HOU
3John SmoltzRHP19BBB
4Juan SotoRF18POR, HOU, NYY, LAA
5Chris CarpenterRHP19KCM, OTT
6Ron GantSS18BBB, KCM
7Zack GreinkeRHP20HOU, BRK
8Charlie LeibrandtLHP21HOU, BBB
9David ConeRHP19LAA, NYY, HOU, OTT
10Josh JohnsonRHP18MCG
11Robbie RayLHP20HOU, OTT
12Garry TempletonSS19HOU, KCM
13Josh HaderLHP19MCG
14Jimmie LyonsLF20CAG, HOD, IND, KCM
15Johnny AllenRHP24CLE, NYY

TWIWBL 93.1

November 26th

A few transactions and bits of team news as we ramp up to the Rookie Draft!

#Detroit Wolverines

Sid Fernandez was signed to a 2 year deal worth just over $4M, offering another potential swing starter for the Wolverines.

#Miami Cuban Giants

Signed reliever Dámaso Marté to a 2 year, $4M deal.

Marté has a very live arm, so this seems fine.

#Portland Sea Dogs

Signed veteran reliever Russ Springer to a 2 year, $2.7M deal.

Feels like a very Sea Dogs move to take a risk on a 38 year old who hasn’t shown much yet in his career.

TWIWBL 92.5: Off Season Review – Indianapolis ABC’s

80 - 83, .491 pct.
2nd in Marvin Miller Division, 5.5 GB
Lost in NL Wild Card, 4-2 to BRK

Overall

Indianapolis has to be pretty happy with the season, which included their first postseason appearance, some major hardware, and the clear emergence of a young nucleus to build around.

Two names jump out above all others: CF Oscar Charleston and P Luis Padrón. Padrón, at 22, was the dominant pitcher in the league and Charleston, at 21, moved into the elite category of WBL outfielders.

It’s a team that needs a few more pieces in place and, as importantly, needs a bounce back year from Johnny Bench and a healthy year from Joe Morgan. But if that happens, and if the preferred 6 man rotation finally clicks, the ABC’s could easily make another postseason run.

What Went Right

We’ll start on the mound, with Luis Padrón‘s Brock Rutherford Award winning season. Padrón went 23-3 with a 3.22 ERA and a miniscule 1.04 WHIP in a dominant year. Nothing is less predictable than young pitching, but Padrón sure looks like a long-term ace for the ABC’s.

Johnny Cueto wasn’t as good as Padrón, but was quite effective over his 35 starts.

Mike LaCoss was very impressive in a late season opportunity. And … that’s about it on the mound.

Oscar Charleston slashed 337/381/619, with 38 homeruns, 130 RBIs, and 101 runs scored, adding 46 steals for good measure. He played in 152 games, collected 207 hits, and even led the WBL with 14 triples (for even more good measure).

Joe Morgan was the ABC’s sparkplug until a late season injury ended his hopes of showing up in the playoffs. Morgan hit even better than Charleston, slashing 306/425/612 in 104 games, and the prospect of the two of them being healthy for a full season is mouth-watering.

Joey Votto and George Foster exceeded expectations, combining for 74 homeruns and 167 RBIs, with Foster showing more pure power but Votto a more rounded overall offensive game.

Johnny Bench fell off from the heights of last season, but still led the team with 46 homeruns, driving in 116. He’s still an elite backstop, and is just coming into his prime at 25.

Chris Sabo was surprisingly effective at 3B after coming over via trade, posting an .854 OPS.

Bob Bescher can’t hit much, but he sure can run, stealing 80 bases while posting a .355 OBP.

The ABC’s had a quartet of late season call ups that were quite impressive at the plate, with Hal Morris, Emil Frisk, Ed Swartwood, and Ross Youngs all showing well in limited appearances.

ALL STARS

Oscar Charleston
Luis Padrón
MAJOR AWARDS

Oscar Charleston, All NL Team; NL CF Silver Slugger
Luis Padrón, All NL Team; NL Brock Rutherford Award
Joey Votto, NL 1B Gold Glove
RECOGNITIONS

Oscar Charleston, NL Mel Trench Award 2nd Place; NL All Rounder 3rd Place; NL 25 & Under Team; NL 23 & Under Team; NL 21 & Under Team
Adam Dunn, NL All Rookie Team
George Foster, NL All Rookie Team
Dave Henderson, NL Over 30 Team
Mike LaCoss, NL All Rookie 2nd Team
Joe Morgan, All NL 2nd Team; NL 24 & Under Team
Edward Nolan, NL 21 & Under Team
Luis Padrón, NL 25 & Under Team; NL 23 & Under Team
Eppa Rixey, NL Over 30 Team
Chris Sabo, NL All Rookie Team
ORGANIZATIONAL AWARDS

Oscar Charleston, MVP
Luis Padrón, Pitcher of the Year
Joe Morgan, Heart & Soul
Oscar Charleston, Fan Favorite

Brad Radke, Minor League Pitcher of the Year
Ed Swartwood, Minor League Player of the Year

What Went Wrong

On the mound, the biggest thing that went wrong was thorough mediocrity: Eppa Rixey, Doc White, Sad Sam Jones, and Willie Mitchell were all very meh across a combined 52 starts.

Rube Foster and The Only Nolan, however, were downright bad (Nolan’s year was cut short due to injury, and at 20, he certainly can bounce back).

The back end of the bullpen was among the worst in the league, with Rob Dibble struggling mightily despite his 24 saves and Rob Murphy just plain struggling. Still, both arms are live enough that they’ll be back.

In the field, Dave Henderson wasted 170 PAs to the tune of a .543 OPS before heading to the minors.

After Morgan was hurt, neither Denis Menke nor Tommy Helms did much at all. Helms was slightly better, but still posted only a .699 OPS.

SS remains highly unsettled: as much as the ABC’s would like to see Barry Larkin take over, he’s yet to show that he can really handle WBL pitching.

Robin Ventura was given another shot at the WBL and once again failed miserably, with a sub .500 OPS over 20 games.

Lew Ritter, Larry Pratt, and Mike Redmond were all awful as Bench’s backup.

Transactions

March

IF Davey Concepción & 3rd Round Pick to NYG for P Sad Sam Jones & 4th Round Pick.

Feels pretty meaningless, although perhaps Concepción will turn into the SS the ABC’s are missing.

July

4th Round Pick to HOM for IF Chris Sabo.

Sure, this worked out decently enough.

August

OF Jake Stenzel to CAG for P Joe Lake.

Stenzel was performing well, but was pretty blocked with Indianapolis, while Lake profiles as a decent back of rotation option, so this seems fine.

Positional Overview

C

Johnny Bench has this locked up, but his backup spot is up for grabs. Veteran Mike Redmond is probably the best defensive option, but he, Bo Díaz, Patsy Gharrity, and Christian Vázquez will be given a look.

1B

Joey Votto has made this his own, and with Adam Dunn also being able to play here, probably thoroughly blocks Sean Casey, Patsy Gharrity, and Hal Morris from seeing time in the WBL with the ABC’s.

2B

Joe Morgan is expected to be fully healthy by Spring Training, but the backup infield spot is pretty wide open, given Denis Menke and Tommy Helms‘ struggles this season.

There’s not a lot of options in the system–young Donie Bush can play here, but is better suited for SS, and veteran Craig Counsell could help out in a pinch.

SS

Barry Larkin will be given every chance to succeed here, with Donie Bush the most likely alternative, although the defensive wizardry of Pokey Reese may also be attractive.

3B

A bit unsettled, as while Chris Sabo will go into the Spring as the starter, the ABC’s would really love to see Robin Ventura finally deliver on his promise. Bob Aspromonte and Oliver Marcell have great potential here, but are probably a year or 2 away at this point.

LF/RF

George Foster is set, but there will be some competition at the other spot. Bob Bescher is a useful spark plug, but Ross Youngs, Ed Swartwood, and Edd Roush may offer enough offensively to displace him.

Leroy Stanton and Pete Rose lurk in the high minors as well.

CF

With Oscar Charleston around, there is some talent here that is blocked. Roush and Foster can play here, and the defensive skill of Jim Eisenreich has some attraction as well.

DH

Adam Dunn has the inside track here, but could be pushed by any number of the OF or 1B contenders.

SP

The front 2 of the rotation are obvious in Padrón and Johnny Cueto–indeed, the ABC’s are likely to go with less of a 6 man rotation and more of a 4 starters taking irregular turns between Padrón and Cueto.

Look for Rube Foster, Willie Mitchell, Joe Lake, Mike LaCoss, Eppa Rixey, Doc White, and The Only Nolan to be the primary contenders to fill out the rotation.

Jim Maloney has turned some scouts’ heads, but needs to transition from the bullpen to the rotation–at only 20, he still can. But probably the highest ceiling starting prospect remains Tom Glavine, who may see the high minors this year.

RP

Jack Billingham had a good year. Nobody else did, but the same crew–Clay Carroll, Rob Murphy, and Rob Dibble–are likely to be trotted out once more.

Jeff Robinson and Norm Charlton are knocking on the door if they falter (again).

Draft Outlook

DRAFT PICKS

1st Round: 1
2nd Round: 1
3rd Round: 0
4th Round: 1
5th Round: 1

Not a lot of capital here to work with.

TWIWBL 92.4: Off Season Review – Miami Cuban Giants

80 - 83, .491 pct.
2nd in Cum Posey Division, 23.5 GB

Overall

This was a surprising season for Miami–most pundits thought they were several years away from contention, so being in the race for a playoff spot into the last week of the season was quite the shock.

It’s not even so clear how the Cuban Giants did it: turns out a lot of homeruns, some strikeout pitchers, and some solid defense will win a few games. Miami still finished under .500, so it’s not like they’re about to contend for the championship, but still … it was a significant step forward.

There are some pieces here, but unless the pitching staff comes around, the nearly .500 finish is probably the best predictor of the future. So some moves may be made.

What Went Right

José Canseco‘s power is a thing to behold, demonstrated by 68 homeruns and 124 RBIs this year. A few dozen more hits would move him into the truly elite outfielders, but even without that, his 1.062 OPS make him a franchise cornerstone.

That said, it’s not like Jim Thome or Yasiel Puig are far behind. Puig’s 298/388/658 performance occurred in 100 games, so there are still some questions about his ability to perform next season, but Thome looked every bit the star, finishing the year with a 1.034 OPS, 59 homeruns, and 122 RBIs.

Julio Rodríguez was a surprise starter coming out of Spring Training and he delivered in the biggest of ways: 315/347/661 with 42 homeruns.

Gary Sheffield has a shot at being an offensive force, with 42 homeruns in what the team hopes is a sign of things to come.

Iván Rodríguez is one of the best young catchers in the league, managing an .840 OPS with elite defense as a 21 year old.

Joe Adcock, Al Oliver, and Andy Pafko were all remarkably effective as part-time contributors. At 40, Adcock may be just about done, but Oliver and Pafko certainly factor into the Cuban Giants’ plans next season.

At only 21, Alejandro Oms led the team with a .308 average while playing spectacular defense.

Robin Yount had an OPS over .800 at SS, and is just entering his prime.

And then there’s Martín Dihigo. Perhaps the worst offensively performing regular in the league last season, Dihigo slugged a still-not-great 246/291/429, but the increase in power is a great sign for Miami. Add to that Dihigo’s ability to play Gold Glove level defense at virtually every position, and the Cuban Giants have a fairly unique talent.

José Méndez is establishing himself as a WBL ace. This year, he went 13-6 with a 4.53 ERA over 37 starts, so most definitely a workhorse, with a chance at elite status.

But Méndez may not be the best starter on the staff: that honor may go to midseason acquisition Jim Whitney, who finished the year with a 3.83 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP over 200 innings.

Beyond that, though, the starters were not good. That’s not quite true–Hugh McQuillan was solid in 10 starts and Phenomenal Smith was, um, yes, that, in 5. But the rest … well, see below.

Ricky Nolasco was fine as the closer, finishing the year with 26 saves. The Cuban Giants obtained Jonathan Papelbon towards the end of the season, giving them excellent options at the end of the bullpen.

ALL STARS

José Canseco
Gary Sheffield
MAJOR AWARDS

José Méndez, All AL Team
Iván Rodríguez, AL C Gold Glove
Jim Thome, All AL Team
Jim Whitney, All AL Team
RECOGNITIONS

Martín Dihigo, AL 21 & Under Team
Kenshin Kawakami, AL All Rookie 2nd Team
José Méndez, AL Brock Rutherford Award 3rd Place; AL 25 & Under Team; AL 23 & Under Team
Alejandro Oms, AL 21 & Under Team
Andy Pafko, AL All Rookie Team
Jonathan Papelbon, All AL 3rd Team; AL Over 30 Team
Yasiel Puig, All AL 3rd Team
Iván Rodríguez, AL 23 & Under Team; AL 21 & Under Team
Julio Rodríguez, AL All Rookie 2nd Team
Jim Whitney, AL All Rookie Team; AL 25 & Under Team
ORGANIZATIONAL AWARDS

José Canseco, MVP
José Méndez, Pitcher of the Year
Alejandro Oms, Heart & Soul
Yasiel Puig, Fan Favorite

Lefty George, Minor League Pitcher of the Year
Bob Loane, Minor League Player of the Year

What Went Wrong

Cookie Rojas couldn’t get his OPS over .700, making him one of the weakest regulars in the league by WAR and likely moving him to a utility role next season.

Eustaquio Pedroso hit even worse than Rojas, eventually abandoning his role as a 2-way player.

Smoky Burgess, a key bat off the bench last year, slashed 226/304/315, and may have played himself to AAA.

Most of the starters were not good, with Cole Hamels and, notably, Ramón Martínez being especially weak despite a ton of opportunities. But Steven Wright, Freddie Fitzsimmons, and Camilo Pascual were all horrid in at least 5 starts (Pascual, it must be said, made only 5 starts before a severe knee injury sidelined him–he should be back in the Spring).

Barry Latman and Ed Brandt were pretty bad from the bullpen, and the rest of the contenders–most notably Pedroso and Braden Looper–barely any better. Middle relief is an area of strong concern going into next season.

Transactions

March

IF Paul Molitor, OF Vladimir Guerrero, C Alan Ashby & 2nd Round Pick to POR for C Iván Rodríguez, P Jon Matlack, OF Adolis García, OF Al Oliver, 1st Round Pick & 4th Round Pick.

A huge deal, but looks pretty good quite honestly. Pudge is a great young talent, Oliver was useful at the WBL this year, Matlack has a future, plus the 2 picks … yes, Guerrero looks like a franchise outfielder, but that’s a pretty good deal imo.

July

OF Ryan Braun, IF Richie Sexson & 7th Round Pick to BBB for P Jim Whitney, OF Andy Pafko, OF José Cruz & 2nd Round Pick.

Looks good. Sure Braun is a solid talent, but power hitting corner OFers, even at his level, are less rare than possible aces, which Whitney sure looks like. Add in Pafko and the pick, and I like this for Miami.

August

P Josh Beckett, OF Roy Thomas & 3rd Round Pick to MEM for P Jonathan Papelbon & 4th Round Pick

This one looks fine now, but I suspect Miami may regret it once Beckett (and perhaps Thomas) are in the WBL full time.

Positional Overview

C

Pudge has this locked up.

Smoky Burgess and Chris Hoiles will likely compete for the backup role in the Spring.

1B

As long as Jim Thome‘s power holds out, his low average is fine.

It’s not clear who backs him up–a lot of people can play first if needs be, and Joe Adcock, at 40, may not hold onto his roster spot. Steve Balboni probably has the most power in the system, but his swing has some pretty big holes in it as well.

This is a position where Minnie Miñoso, the eternal prospect, may contribute as well.

2B

This is Dihigo’s primary position, with Cookie Rojas looking good as his backup. But Rojas was so poor this system, the door is open for Bert Campaneris, Nellie Fox, or Tito Fuentes to make some noise in the Spring.

Clete Boyer is the same age as Dihigo, but is a more usual prospect, and at 19 is probably still in need of a season or 4 in the minors.

SS

Robin Yount all day. Zoilo Versalles has some talent, and Alexei Ramírez seems to have some strong defensive talent, but this is Yount for now.

3B

Another position that moved from unknown to settled, with Gary Sheffield likely to get a lot of play here. Sheffield isn’t great with the glove–and in fact may be better suited for an OF role–so Miami is looking at options, with Russell Branyan, Willie Kamm, and Kevin Kouzmanoff being the primary short term options.

Carlos Morán may be a year away, but he is the most likely choice for Sheffield’s eventual successor.

LF/RF

There are a lot of options here, but it looks like Alejandro Oms and Yasiel Puig will see most of the time, with José Canseco getting some games as well. But Al Oliver and Andy Pafko had excellent seasons, and Jason Bay and Minnie Miñoso are waiting in the wings.

CF

J-Rod just never stopped performing, and the job is now his. Oliver will play here, as will Pafko, and there is some talent in the system, most notably in the form of José Cardenal and Marquis Grissom.

DH

José Canseco most days, with most everyone else filling in occasionally.

SP

Jim Whitney and José Méndez are a great top 2 to build around, but there are a ton of question marks beyond them. The next 2 slots are likely to go to Phenomenal Smith and Camilo Pascual, with Smith yet to complete a full season and Pascual trying to come back from knee surgery.

And then we have Cole Hamels, who hasn’t done much over 2 seasons; Kenshin Kawakami, who pitched well before getting injured; Ramón Martínez, who is looking to bounce back from a horrible season; plus a handful of prospects (Jason Hammel, Ed Whitson, Lefty George, Hugh McQuillan, Freddie Fitzsimmons, and a few more).

RP

Papelbon becomes the closer, with Nolasco sliding into a setup role (with some even arguing he try his hand in the rotation). Braden Looper will help out here, as will whomever doesn’t make the rotation.

Draft Outlook

DRAFT PICKS

1st Round: 2
2nd Round: 1
3rd Round: 0
4th Round: 3
5th Round: 0

Always nice to have the overall #1 pick. Given the state of pitching, look for Miami to lean towards Amos Rusie or Pedro Martinez, but the overall skill of Rod Carew and the sheer power of Jim Rice are both pretty enticing.

TWIWBL 92.3: Off Season Review – Cleveland Spiders

89 - 73, .549 pct.
2nd in Bill James Division, 1 GB
Won AL WC 4-1 over NYY
Lost in AL Championship 4-0 to SFS

Overall

Cleveland had made the playoffs both WBL seasons, but is still in search of that elusive championship.

And, it’s not clear what’s next: unlike Detroit or the Black Yankees, they lack a young superstar to build around; unlike Brooklyn, they lack the pitching to nonchalantly ignore other concerns. They have talent, for sure, but they also seem at risk of imminent collapse.

So some tinkering is in order, or, at least, some good luck to ensure that some of the young talent continues to develop.

What Went Right

Tris Speaker recovered from injury in a major way, emerging as an elite force at CF, slashing 312/397/631 and scoring 124 runs. Nobody likes him, but he doesn’t care.

Lance Berkman is comfortably home in Cleveland, leading the team with 57 homeruns and finishing with a 1.002 OPS in his first full season with the Spiders. I mean, maybe Berkman and Speaker get along.

Ron Blomberg continues to frustrate his critics, slashing 276/348/640 despite a growing platoon split. Blomberg and Berkman tied for the team lead with 143 RBIs.

At 36, Ed Bailey performed as hoped for after coming over from Detroit. It’s unknown how long that lasts, but a .950 OPS from a catcher is a rare thing.

Larry Doby arrived at last, hitting 41 homeruns and providing a solid presence in RF.

Evan Longoria seized the 3B job, settling an open question for the Spiders with 36 homeruns and 96 RBIs.

Arky Vaughan proved the Spiders were right to trade for him last season, providing an .873 OPS and superlative defense at SS.

And then there’s Willie McCovey. Abandoned by most critics to being a AAA veteran, McCovey seized his WBL chance by the scruff, belting 17 homeruns in 140 PAs and refusing to be kept out of the lineup. How that plays out next season is unknown, and at 33 it’s not clear if this is a single season’s good story or the start of a late career blossoming.

The staff is far less comprehensible.

Bill Steen led the way in WAR, with a 13-10 record and a 4.71 ERA. So perhaps he should be considered the staff ace?

Cy Young led the way in wins with a 15-9 record, but a disappointing 5.38 ERA. So perhaps he should be considered the staff ace?

Bob Feller has the best stuff of the trio, leading to a 13-3 record with a 4.30 ERA in 17 starts, to go along with some impressive bullpen appearances. So perhaps he should be considered the staff ace?

Whomever claims that role, they’ll have decent support form the bullpen, with Terry Adams (23 saves), Cory Gearrin, the impressive debut of Al Smith, Firpo Marberry, and the predicted return of Ron Reed from injury.

Mention should be made of Mel Harder, who posted a 10-4 record and a 4.12 ERA in 10 starts before being injured. Harder should be fully recovered for Spring Training.

ALL STARS

Terry Adams
Ron Blomberg
Evan Longoria
Tris Speaker
Arky Vaughan
MAJOR AWARDS

Ed Bailey, All AL Team
Johnny Bates, AL LF Gold Glove
Evan Longoria, All AL Team
Arky Vaughan, All AL Team; AL SS Gold Glove
RECOGNITIONS

Ed Bailey, AL Over 30 Team
Lance Berkman, All AL 2nd Team
Bob Feller, AL 21 & Under Team
Evan Longoria, AL 25 & Under Team
Firpo Marberry, All AL 3rd Team; AL All Rookie 2nd Team
Ron Reed, All AL 3rd Team
Al Smith, All AL 2nd Team
Tris Speaker, All AL 2nd Team; AL All Rounder 3rd Place
ORGANIZATIONAL AWARDS

Tris Speaker, MVP
Bill Steen, Pitcher of the Year
Lance Berkman, Heart & Soul
Evan Longoria, Fan Favorite

Balor Moore, Minor League Pitcher of the Year
Kenny Lofton, Minor League Player of the Year

What Went Wrong

Probably the biggest disappointment on the offensive end was Louis Santop. Santop is only 20, so he has time to recover from his sophomore slump, but what a slump it is: slashing 195/238/348 will never cut it. Still, Santop’s slump is what prompted the acquisition of Ed Bailey, so that worked out.

Chuck Knoblauch had a hard year, managing only a .700 OPS with very, very little power.

About 200 PAs were wasted on Jake Stahl and Sammy Strang, neither of which could even hit as poorly as Santop.

Pat Malone was thoroughly mediocre on the mound, and while his 28 starts were somewhat useful, his 5.81 ERA was not.

Really, that’s about it–there were other mediocrities on the roster, and some of the usual poor performances across a few dozen innings, but it was a good year by the Lake.

Transactions

March

None.

July

C Victor Martínez, P Bill Drake & 3rd Round Pick to DET for C Ed Bailey & P Claude Passeau.

It was a lot to give up, especially if Drake develops as expected, but Bailey was great and Passeau has some talent, so it probably works out for both teams.

August

None.

Positional Overview

C

Next season will open with the same arrangement as this one closed: Ed Bailey as the regular, with Louis Santop coming in for defense and for his own development. John Ellis can also play here occasionally.

Tucker Barnhart and Andy Etchebarren offer attractive defensive-minded alternatives in the minors.

1B

Willie McCovey has forced himself into this conversation, which has some domino effects, as it moves Lance Berkman from an everyday 1B, to someone splitting their time between 1B, LF, and DH. Ron Blomberg will be here some times, and young Paul O’Neill could be here as well if he makes the roster.

Further down in the system, Bill Phillips and Earl Torgeson have some talent, and Jake Stahl is still at AAA if needed.

2B

The Spring may determine this: Chuck Knoblauch is still the favorite, but both Steve Sax and Sammy Strang will get at least brief looks.

Brandon Drury may be the best in the system.

SS

This is Jim Fregosi‘s job given his arrival via trade.

There were high hopes for Jimmy Rollins, but it feels like both he and Peckinpaugh have been supplanted by Aparicio in the pecking order. Much is open to be determined this Spring.

3B

This was a mess last year, but Evan Longoria has claimed it as his own. This is really useful, as other than Bob Elliott, the talent that is here (Johnny Hodapp, Aubrey Huff, Justin Turner) is all pretty young.

LF/RF

Johnny Bates won the Gold Glove in LF, and probably hits well enough to stay there, but Berkman will eat into some of his time. Larry Doby seems to have the RF spot locked up.

Paul O’Neill will get a long look in the Spring, and both Alexis Rios and Craig Wilson have some talent as well.

CF

An interesting position: Tris Speaker is the CF, no questions there, but Kenny Lofton may be the best trading chip the Spiders have. Doby and Bates can play here as well, and Gus Bell and Jackie Bradley have some talent behind them.

Lower in the system, both Luis Olmo and Randy Winn may have WBL potential as well.

DH

Berkman and Ron Blomberg, with some help from Willie McCovey.

SP

If everything went well, Cy Young, Bill Steen, and Bob Feller would make a strong front 3, with Firpo Marberry, Mel Harder, and Pat Malone providing whatever support is necessary, along with contributions from Stan Coveleski and Yordano Ventura.

But that all feels very, very optimistic: Young and Feller have the talent to take those roles, the rest are a little more suspect.

There is depth in the system, but little high end talent other than perhaps newcomer Claude Passeau. But the group of Wilbur Cooper, Howard Ehmke, Sudden Sam McDowell, Balor Moore, and Whit Wyatt should offer some support at some point.

RP

Terry Adams is a solid closer, and the trio of Ron Reed, Corey Gearrin, and Al Smith look great (there are questions: Reed is recovering from injury and Smith has to avoid that famed sophomore slump). Beyond that, Billy Muffett may get a look in the Spring.

Toby Borland and Andrew Bailey may be needed here at some point.

Draft Outlook

DRAFT PICKS

1st Round: 0
2nd Round: 0
3rd Round: 2
4th Round: 1
5th Round: 1

So that’s not great. Especially for a thoroughly mediocre system.

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