{ With under three weeks until the All Star Teams are announced, we’re looking at what’s changed since our original previews. }
Preview I here, which selected Tom Henke, Jonathan Papelbon, Chuck Finley, Craig Kimbrel, and Adam Wainwright.
This gets complicated pretty quickly: both Finley and Wainwright are now in their teams’ starting rotations (Finley for Los Angeles, Wainwright for Kansas City), but both still are worthy of consideration. Finley is 2-0 with 4 holds, a 3.16 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP and Wainwright is 0-1 with 1 hold, a 2.35 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP.
For closers, Henke and Detroit’s Mike Henneman continue to lead the way. Henke was injured in Ottawa’s most recent game, so that will play a factor, but he’s currently 0-3 with 12 saves for the Mounties. The problem is recent struggles have ballooned his ERA to 5.00–combine that with his injury, and he may no longer be in contention.
Henneman is 1-2 with 10 saves and a 3.46 ERA, but he would probably be behind Memphis’ Joe Beggs, who has yet to give up an earned run to go along with his 8 saves. For them, along with the New York Gothams’ Brian Wilson (6 saves, 2.40 ERA), the next few weeks will be key.
Kimbrel is still a likely choice, sitting at 1-1 with 8 holds and a 3.09 ERA for Kansas City, as is Memphis’ Papelbon (0-3, 3 saves, 4 holds, 2.13 ERA, 1.07 WHIP). Baltimore’s Ned Garvin has to receive strong consideration as well. Garvin has appeared in 12 games, starting 4 of them, and has a 5-1 record with 2 holds, a 2.09 ERA, and a 0.87 WHIP.
Two more names to consider. The House of David’s Bob Rush has 13 relief appearances and 1 start, having just moved into the rotation. So far, he is 4-1 with a 1.83 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP. The Gothams’ Mike Norris continues to excel as well, appearing in 22 games out of the bullpen with a 2-1 record, 1 save, 3 holds, and a 1.91 ERA.
The AI picks Garvin and Rush as starters, and then, in addition to Norris, Houston’s Andrew Chafin, Memphis’ Turk Farrell, and Baltimore’s Buddy Groom.
Of those, Groom makes sense, both on his own merit (4 holds, 1.91 ERA, 1.06 WHIP) and as a nod to Baltimore’s overall record. Chafin has been quite good (3-1, 2.25 ERA), and Farrell is incomprehensible: 0-2 with a 3.51 ERA just doesn’t cut it.
So, given all that, I would go with Garvin, Kimbrel, Papelbon, Rush, and one of the closers. Let’s say Beggs. But Groom has probably been more valuable than any of the closers, it’s just wanting someone with some saves to be in there as well.