TWIWBL 87.9: The Center Fielders

Fitting for this league, there is a ton of talent here, which makes some of the Tier sorting challenging.

We have a new defensive metric for outfielders: ARM, which is an estimate of the number of runs saved (or allowed) from their throwing arms.

#S Tier

Lg	Tm	Name	Age	Slash	Other	Def
NL	IND	Oscar Charleston	21	337/381/619	38 HR 130 RBI 101 R 46 SB
AL	CLE	Tris Speaker	23	312/397/631	35 HR 124 R 46 SB
AL	SFS	Turkey Stearnes	22	357/400/751	51 HR 125 RBI 108 R	-4.7 ARM
AL	LAA	Mike Trout	22	306/392/617	40 HR 107 RBI 106 R 45 SB	.994 fPct

The top of this list is easy: welcome to the WBL, Turkey Stearnes!

After that, it’s unclear. In one sense, maybe it’s just Stearnes? But Tris Speaker–as disliked as he is–had a great season. So, maybe it’s just the two of them? But it feels like Mike Trout and Oscar Charleston are certainly in a different class than the bulk of the A Tier.

I think this is a reflection of how great of a year Sternes had: consider him in an S+ tier by himself.

#A Tier

Lg	Tm	Name	Age	Slash	Other	Def
NL	BRK	John Briggs	21	276/377/557	32 HR
NL	NYG	Willie Mays	24	261/337/600	49 HR 112 RBI 107 R 24 SB	14.5 ZR -4.7 ARM
AL	MCG	Julio Rodríguez	20	315/347/661	42 HR	2.30 RF -10.1 ZR
NL	PHI	Charles Rogan	27	308/362/620	21 SB	3.45 RF

Joe Rogan played more CF than anything else (other than pitcher), so he’s listed here.

Willie Mays is Willie Mays, and is expected to spend most of his career here and above. The rest can be considered surprises: John Briggs was seen by many as a AAA player who would fail in his rookie season; Julio Rodríguez was an afterthought invite to Spring Training who seized the opportunity; and while it was expected that Rogan would be solid as a 2-way player, nobody foresaw this.

#B Tier

Lg	Tm	Name	Age	Slash	Other	Def
NL	OTT	Carlos Beltrán	25	258/332/533	35 HR 42 SB	10 A
AL	NYY	Eric Davis	25	263/344/538	34 HR 61 SB
AL	POR	Ken Griffey, Jr	20	292/326/568	33 HR	-7.8 ZR

Sure. Eric Davis continues to struggle with injuries, Carlos Beltrán needs to put the ball in play a little more, and Ken Griffey, Jr. is only 20. This also reinforces the trade between Portland and Ottawa–Beltrán deserves his starting spot in the WBL, and Griffey, Jr. needed a fresh start.

Any of these three could move up, while Davis seems the most likely to crash out as his injuries continue to mount.

#C Tier

Lg	Tm	Name	Age	Slash	Other	Def
AL	DET	Chili Davis	25	243/318/481		14 A -15.5 ZR .930 dEff 0.5 ARM
NL	HOD	George Gore	26	254/389/440
NL	HOU	Pete Hill	20	274/347/453		2.38 RF
AL	MEM	Reggie Smith	24	270/333/545	34 HR	-5.0 ARM

Here we get to set of CF that are always being questioned–they are good enough, but there’s always a lingering question about whether they’re actually the solution. This impacted George Gore the most, who was essentially a half-time player this year, and is least an issue for Pete Hill, given his age.

Chili Davis is solid, but his defense is far from solid, and Reggie Smith–like some others in the Memphis clubhouse–is under threat from a wave of emerging talent.

#D Tier

Lg	Tm	Name	Age	Slash	Other	Def
AL	BAL	Paul Blair	25	262/296/448		11.8 ZR 1.086 dEff
NL	BBB	Curtis Granderson	27	206/293/495	41 HR 21 SB	2.97 RF -5.2 ARM
NL	HOM	Andrew McCutchen	24	238/325/446	52 SB	.963 fPct
—	IND/ CAG	Jake Stenzel	26	244/293/465	22 SB	2.36 RF .917 dEff

Curtis Granderson and Andrew McCutchen had their names penciled in almost every day … which leads to a question of why they escaped the criticism seen by the tier above? For Granderson, it is answered by his defense, power, and the fact that his deficiency–putting the ball safely in play–was a team-wide issue for Birmingham.

Jake Stenzel stopped hitting for power when he arrived in Chicago, cementing his place in this group, while Paul Blair is only here due to his exceptional defense.

#F Tier

Lg	Tm	Name	Age	Slash	Other	Def
NL	PHI	Willie Davis	22	233/282/391	21 SB	16.3 ZR 1.095 dEff
NL	HOD	Jim Edmonds	26	218/280/467		.996 fPct 2.95 RF
NL	KCM	Willie McGee	26	246/279/418	40 SB	11 A .969 fPct
NL	KCM	Dale Murphy	23	193/274/456		.971 fPct .936 dEff
AL	CAG	Cristóbal Torriente	18	186/237/247	24 SB	.993 fPct 1.069 dEff 0.4 ARM

Willie Davis and Jim Edmonds do enough with their gloves to stick around somewhere, and Davis is certainly young enough to improve more offensively. The rest are a challenge: Willie McGee is in danger of losing his job, Dale Murphy has obvious power, but is clearly not best suited for CF, and then there’s Cristóbal Torriente, whose defensive impact is unmistakable, but is clearly overwhelmed at the plate at this point.

#Rookies

This is in incredible rookie class, with Stearnes (S Tier), and Rodríguez, Rogan, and Briggs (all A Tier). And, oh yeah, Dale Murphy way down in the F Tier Tier.

#Fielding Notes

We have our standard defensive stats here, with the leaders in bold and the worst performers in italics. Assists (A), more romantically referred to as Outfield Kills are runners eliminated on the bases. Range Factor (RF) measures the number of plays made per game–the higher the better. Zone Rating (ZR) attempts to credit players for plays other fielders missed and ding them for plays other fielders made–the higher the better, and it has the benefit of being comparative across the position. Defensive Efficiency (dEff) measures the rate at which an individual fielder contributes to outs being made on balls put into play, with any score over 1.000 being a net positive impact. Finally, Fielding Percentage (fPct) reflects the percentage of times a chance was handled without a mistake–if someone made no errors, their fPct would be 1.000.

Of these, Range Factor is the most susceptible to the impact of the pitching staff and the ballpark, although none of these defensive ratings are perfect.