The Whirled League

Baseball The Way It Never Was

Category: All Star Games

TWIWBL Special Edition: All Star Preview – Left Fielders

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On August 1, 2021

In All Star Games, TWIWBL

{ The All-Star game is about a month away. We’ll post occasional articles about the contenders for participation in the mid-season classic. These are written “as of now,” so the final selections may vary dramatically, but hopefully these will add to the ongoing flavor of the league. }

#AL Left Fielders – Bill James & Cum Posey Division

The leader in the AL is pretty clear: Baltimore’s Frank Robinson has been the key to their surprising season at 341/417/553, and is a fair bit ahead of the rest of the pack.

Probably the best candidates behind Robinson are Chicago’s Duffy Lewis at 311/349/571 with 11 homeruns and 25 RBIs and the House of David’s George Stone, who is hitting 322/412/517.

But Los Angeles’ Don Buford deserves some strong consideration: Buford is hitting 320/412/473, and has been the key to the Angels’ offense all season, scoring 28 runs. Detroit’s Oscar Gamble has hit a bit of a slump, but at 267/385/491 with 28 RBIs is still in the mix.

Buford and Gamble are the only folks here who have done much defensively, but we’re not talking about the great gloves of the WBL with this group.

The AI goes for Lewis, Robinson, and Stone, which is hard to argue with, but I would probably slide Buford ahead of Stone.

#NL Left Fielders – Effa Manley & Marvin Miller Division

The NL starter is pretty easy: the New York Black Yankees’ Babe Ruth is the dominant player in the league at 337/445/697, 16 HRs, and 45 RBIs. And that’s after a recent slump.

After Ruth, Philadelphia’s Rico Carty is a no-brainer at 354/416/570.

And then it gets complicated.

Ruth’s teammate, Albert Belle, is slashing 322/375/579 in somewhat limited playing time, and then there is a large gap to a trio with OPS’ in the low 800s: San Francisco’s Wally Moon, Brooklyn’s Roy White, and Homestead’s Rick Reichardt.

White has been one of–if not the best–LF defensively, so he’ll get my nod for the third slot along with Ruth and Carty.

The AI only selects Ruth and Carty, which is also defensible, given the OF quality in CF and RF.

TWIWBL Special Edition: All Star Preview – Shortstops

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On July 30, 2021

In All Star Games, TWIWBL

{ The All-Star game is about a month away. We’ll post occasional articles about the contenders for participation in the mid-season classic. These are written “as of now,” so the final selections may vary dramatically, but hopefully these will add to the ongoing flavor of the league. }

#AL Shortstops – Bill James & Cum Posey Divisions

It’s a two man race for the starting position between Los Angeles’ George Wright (290/342/500) and Baltimore’s Bobby Wallace (314/412/436). Both of them should make it.

Behind them, it gets trickier. The pool probably contains Memphis’ Vern Stephens (273/349/439), the House of David’s Ernie Banks (289/306/440), and Ottawa’s Freddy Parent (263/336/432). Banks has 27 RBIs, which leads the group by quite a bit.

Eugenio Suarez of the New York Gothams is slashing 338/378/574, but has probably not played enough to warrant an all-star selection.

But, these are shortstops, so their defensive performance should count for something. Here, Parent has the clear edge, with Wright and Kansas City’s Ozzie Smith (who at 265/349/325 just hasn’t hit enough to force his way into the conversation) being the dominant fielders in the AL.

So, let’s call it Wright, Wallace, and Parent. The AI agrees, but avoids the difficult question by selecting Wright and Wallace.

#NL Shortstops – Effa Manley & Marvin Miller Divisions

Portland’s Jim Fregosi (275/350/450) is the only clear selection, and therefore the starter.

Offensively, you could argue for the Black Yankees’ Derek Jeter (289/338/407). But he’s really the only other candidate with a decent OPS.

Defensively, Homestead’s Arky Vaughan has probably been the best shortstop in the WBL to date (it’s either him or Detroit’s George Davis), so in this weak of a division, he could get a nod.

I’ll go with Fregosi, Jeter, and Vaughan at this point, but I wouldn’t be surprised if San Francisco’s Dick Lundy or Birmingham’s Troy Tulowitzki forced their way into the conversation by the end.

The AI punted on this one, selecting not a single shortstop to the NL squad.

TWIWBL Special Edition: All Star Preview – Third Basemen

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On July 28, 2021

In All Star Games, TWIWBL

{ The All-Star game is about a month away. We’ll post occasional articles about the contenders for participation in the mid-season classic. These are written “as of now,” so the final selections may vary dramatically, but hopefully these will add to the ongoing flavor of the league. }

#AL Third Basemen: Bill James & Cum Posey Divisions

Detroit’s Bob Bailey has been one of the surprise performers of the year so far, slashing 328/413/565. The problem is that he’s really been a DH for Detroit all season and, if he makes the all-star team, it should be at that position.

Doug Rader of the Los Angeles Angels merits strong consideration for the starting position. He’s second in the league in RBI with 49, and is hitting 317/365/511 to go with it.

The challenge is who the third selection could be. Kansas City’s Albert Pujols is hitting 304/368/492, but plays as much at LF, 1B, and DH as 3B. If either Chicago’s Dick Allen (253/302/482) or Ottawa’s Anthony Rendon (294/387/412) get hot, they could force their way into the conversation.

Perhaps the right selection is the New York Gothams’ Pinky Higgins, who has been very steady at 316/382/456.

Bailey’s teammate–and Detroit’s actual third baseman, Jimmy Collins, is hitting 236/284/401, which is nowhere near all-star levels. But he has been the best fulltime defensive 3B in the division (Baltimore’s Brooks Robinson has been even better with the glove, but absolutely putrid offensively), so perhaps that gives him a shot?

The AI prefers Bailey, Rader, and Pujols (as a LF). Removing Bailey from consideration here, I would select Rader, Allen (predicting he hits another hot streak and overtakes Rendon), and Higgins.

#NL Third Baseman: Effa Manley & Marvin Miller Divisions

The first two selections are pretty easy: Philadelphia’s Scott Rolen (306/373/556) and Portland’s Buddy Bell (325/388/537) should both make it, with Bell looking like the current starter. Rolen and Bell have also been the best defensive 3B, making the choice even easier.

After that, there are a lot of questions. Miami’s Manny Machado has 9 homeruns, but not much else, and New York’s Mike Schmidt has needed a recent surge to get his numbers up to 258/313/484.

The AI goes with Rolen and Bell. I’m going to predict that Schmidt continues his improved performance, and forces himself into the conversation as well.

TWIWBL Special Edition: All Star Preview – Second Basemen

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On July 26, 2021

In All Star Games, TWIWBL

{ The All-Star game is about a month away. We’ll post occasional articles about the contenders for participation in the mid-season classic. These are written “as of now,” so the final selections may vary dramatically, but hopefully these will add to the ongoing flavor of the league. }

#AL Second Basemen – Bill James & Cum Posey Divisions

Right now, all of the AL 2B will likely come from teams in the Cum Posey division.

Eddie Collins was the best 2B in the WBL when he got injured. He’s just off the disabled list, so we’ll see how that goes. But he was hitting 305/455/505 with 15 stolen bases for Chicago, to go along with the best defensive numbers in the league.

But choosing the other two is hard. Larry Gardner has been key to Baltimore’s surprising season. and his raw numbers–308/434/484–are hard to ignore. Ottawa’s Tim Raines trails only Collins in WAR, and in addition to hitting 290/383/477 with 7 homeruns and scoring 28 runs, he’s stolen 30 bases while only being caught 3 times.

But either a slight slump from Gardner, or a hot streak by either Kansas City’s Rogers Hornsby (285/363/474) or Houston’s HR Johnson (333/373/448) could change the considerations.

The AI selects Collins and Raines, so no argument there.

#NL Second Basemen – Effa Manley & Marvin Miller Divisions

In the NL, it’s a pretty easy choice, but one that I suspect will change. Right now, the best at second is Philadelphia’s Chase Utley, who is hitting 296/372/557 with decent defense. San Francisco’s Jimmy Bloodworth (305/353/500) should make it as well

And that brings us to Tommy Herr, who is slashing 356/385/442 for Birmingham. Herr began the year as a reserve, and is unlikely to keep this level of performance up … but if he does, he should be in. Regardless, it’s one of the better stories in a miserable first half for the Black Barons.

The AI currently favors Utley and Birmingham’s Frank Isbell. Isbell is having a good season at 353/390/426, but he’s really been moved to DH (where his numbers don’t really warrant an all-star selection) by Herr’s emergence.

TWIWBL Special Edition: All Star Preview – First Basemen

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On July 23, 2021

In All Star Games, TWIWBL

{ The All-Star game is about a month away. We’ll post occasional articles about the contenders for participation in the mid-season classic. These are written “as of now,” so the final selections may vary dramatically, but hopefully these will add to the ongoing flavor of the league. }

#AL First Basemen: Bill James & Cum Posey Divisions

Detroit’s Hank Greenberg is an easy choice, slashing 327/385/635 with 11 homeruns and 43 RBIs. He would be behind Chicago’s Frank Thomas, who is at 358/435/623, but has only seen 77 innings in the field (Thomas should make the game nominally as a 1B, but may be the starting DH for the AL).

It gets tricky after that, especially if you consider Baltimore’s Frank Robinson (333/416/552) as an outfielder, which I think he really is. Likewise, Detroit’s Bob Bailey and Los Angeles’ Doug Rader will be covered with the third basemen.

It probably comes down to a choice between Kansas City’s Boog Powell (295/411/473), Houston’s Jeff Bagwell (301/389/497), and Ottawa’s Carlos Delgado (266/391/483). Delgado leads the trio with 9 homeruns, Powell leads with 26 RBIs, and Bagwell with overall numbers. Memphis’ Bill White has hit a bit of a slump, but he’s still at 268/348/472, which should put him on the outside of the conversation.

Of this group, Bagwell has been the best fielder as well, with a high zone rating and a single error on the year to date. Delgado has also been a net positive defender.

The AI goes with Greenberg, Powell, and Thomas, so there’s no real argument there.

#NL First Basemen: Effa Manley & Marvin Miller Divisions

1B is always a hard choice, given the offensive numbers you’re likely to encounter. Lou Gehrig (344/448/664, Black Yankees), Kent Hrbek (342/424/638, Sea Dogs), Ron Blomberg (340/418/625, Spiders), and Mike Epstein (363/451/600, Grays) all have OPS over the 1.000 mark, making them almost required participants. Hrbek has 12 homeruns, and Gehrig and Blomberg have 10 apiece. You could see Blomberg more rightly as an outfielder, where he has seen more time for Cleveland, leaving the other 3 as the selections.

That leaves Cleveland’s John Ellis (299/352/608) out in the cold, unless he makes it as a catcher and, perhaps more importantly, Philadelphia’s Rico Carty (349/411/544), unless he qualifies as an outfielder (which is actually likely).

The AI also has Gehrig, Hrbek, and Epstein.

TWIWBL Special Edition: All Star Preview – Catchers

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On July 19, 2021

In All Star Games, TWIWBL

{ The All-Star game is about a month away. We’ll post occasional articles about the contenders for participation in the mid-season classic. These are written “as of now,” so the final selections may vary dramatically, but hopefully these will add to the ongoing flavor of the league. }

#AL Catchers: Bill James & Cum Posey Divisions

The New York Gothams‘ Buster Posey is the clear class of this group, hitting 377/451/623, scoring 35 runs, and already accumulating a 2.6 WAR on the season. That’s easy. So is Baltimore‘s Curt Blefary, second in the league in HR with 13 while hitting 280/392/632 with 34 RBI.

Behind him, it gets a little tougher. The House of David‘s Elrod Hendricks deserves consideration at 263/323/483. Kansas City‘s Ted Simmons (296/330/444) and Houston‘s Jim O’Rourke (254/342/433) have been solid offensively, but neither have really played enough and O’Rourke spends a lot of his time at other positions.

Hendricks has a CERA of 4.06, which helps his case, but has only thrown out 6 of 42 base-stealers, which doesn’t. But nothing else really stands out defensively: Ottawa‘s Emil Gross has thrown out 37.5% of opposing runners, but hasn’t hit enough to merit consideration.

Both I and the AI make the fairly easy choices: Posey, Blefary, and Hendricks.

#NL Catchers: Effa Manley & Marvin Miller Divisions

The choices get harder in the NL.

Johnny Bench of Indianapolis has seen a recent hot streak take him to 289/394/578 with 9 homeruns. And that might not be enough to start, as Portland‘s Joe Mauer is hitting 356/456/625. But the two of them have to be selected.

That leaves one slot with several worthy candidates. Even if you eliminate Cleveland‘s John Ellis (299/352/608) and Philadelphia‘s Sherm Lollar (263/374/513) for not having played quite enough, you have to pick between Homestead‘s Josh Gibson (321/410/473) and the Black Yankees‘ Thurman Munson (303/345/508). WAR favors Gibson by quite a bit, 1.6 to 1.1.

Turning to the defensive statistics, Mauer has thrown out 35.5% of would-be base stealers, but he’s already in. Defensively, Munson has an edge, helped by Gibson’s 9 errors, but it’s not as big of an edge as you may think. Cleveland’s Louis Santop may be the best defensive catcher in the league, but his offense–which is quite respectable with a 314/354/488 slash line–is a notch behind these others, and splitting time with Ellis has kept him off the field a bit too much.

So, once again, we’re in agreement with the AI: Mauer, Bench, and Gibson.

TWIWBL Special Edition: All Star Preview – NL Relievers

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On July 17, 2021

In All Star Games, TWIWBL

{ The All-Star game is about a month away. We’ll post occasional articles about the contenders for participation in the mid-season classic. These are written “as of now,” so the final selections may vary dramatically, but hopefully these will add to the ongoing flavor of the league. The AL comprises the Effa Manley & Marvin Miller Divisions. }

There are, of course, a lot of candidates in relief. Many of these will fall off the radar, as a single bad outing is likely to take them out of all-star contention.

Johan Santana of Portland has been the leading reliever all season, with 14 saves. His ERA has taken a recent hit, but it still sits a highly respectable 3.18. Terry Adams of the Cleveland Spiders has 11 saves to go along with an 0-1 record and a 1.84 ERA, and merits strong consideration.

A trio of closers sit immediately behind Santana: San Francisco‘s Rod Beck (10 saves and a 0.00 ERA, but only 9 innings pitched), Miami‘s Aroldis Chapman (2-0, 9 saves, also yet to be scored upon), and Brooklyn‘s Watty Clark (2-1, 2.51 ERA). Clearly, if Beck or Chapman continue to not allow a run, they’re in.

Philadelphia‘s Bob Howry is more problematic: his 10 saves look strong, but his 0-2 record and, even more, 6.59 ERA probably rule him out of the game. Howry’s teammate, Ron Reed, may have a stronger case: 0-2, 2 saves, 8 holds, and a 3.13 ERA.

The Black Yankees‘ David Robertson (2-1, 2 holds, 2.28 ERA) and Ralph Citarella (1-2, 1 save, 7 holds, 3.71 ERA) and Cleveland’s Chuck Porter (3-2, 2 holds) have all been impressive in setup roles. Add Portland’s Elmer Brown (2-2, 2 saves, 5 holds, 2.37 ERA) and Brooklyn’s Erig Gagne (0-1, 1 save, 5 holds, 2.45 ERA) into the mix, as well as San Francisco’s Ken Howell, who is 1-1 with a save and 2 holds and a sparkling 1.47 ERA.

For higher usage relievers, another Philadelphia Star, Rheal Cormier should get some attention, as he has put up a 4-0 record with 1 save and 4 holds, a 2.33 ERA and a stellar 1.14 WHIP. San Francisco’s Charlie Root is also 3-0, with a 3.33 ERA and an even better 1.07 WHIP.

Indianapolis‘ Rob Dibble just needs more innings: he has been virtually unhittable so far, sitting at 2-1 with 6 saves and a 1.55 ERA along with a 1.08 WHIP. But that’s only across 12 innings of work.

The AI likes Cormier, Stan Coveleski (Cleveland; 3-0, 2 holds, 2.81 ERA), Lefty James (Indianapolis; 3-1, 2.52 ERA), and Robertson.

Right now, my five would be Santana, Adams, Chapman, Cormier, and … Dibble.

TWIWBL Special Edition: All Star Preview – AL Relievers

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On July 17, 2021

In All Star Games, TWIWBL

{ The All-Star game is about a month away. We’ll post occasional articles about the contenders for participation in the mid-season classic. These are written “as of now,” so the final selections may vary dramatically, but hopefully these will add to the ongoing flavor of the league. The AL comprises the Bill James & Cum Posey Divisions}

There are, of course, a lot of candidates in relief. Many of these will fall off the radar, as a single bad outing (or injury) is likely to take them out of all-star contention.

Tom Henke of the Ottawa Mounties has 10 saves, with a 3.29 ERA and a 0.88 WHIP, easily the AL leading closer at this point.

Detroit‘s Mike Henneman (0-2, 2.89 ERA) and Kansas City‘s Jeff Pfeffer (4-1, 3.05 ERA) have 7 saves each (as does the House of David‘s Tom Niedenfuer, who was arguably having a better year before injuring his shoulder) and either could sneak in, with Pfeffer’s record perhaps giving him an edge. Memphis‘ Joe Beggs has only 4 saves, but he has yet to give up a run: clearly if that continues, he deserves serious consideration.

Baltimore‘s Don Bessent (0-1, 6 saves, 1.42 ERA) is the only other closer with decent usage with a WHIP below 1, at 0.87 (Baltimore has actually split closing opportunities between Bessent and Bob Miller, but Bessent has had more saves and save opportunities–Miller sits at 1-0 with 3 saves and 2 holds and a 3.29 ERA, but a similar 0.95 WHIP).

In addition to Beggs, the Memphis bullpen offers Jonathan Papelbon, who has a 1.35 ERA and a sparkling WHIP of 0.80 to go along with an 0-1 record, 3 saves, and 2 holds. Setting up Henke, Ottawa’s Gary Lavelle is 2-1 with 1 save and 2 holds and a 1.96 ERA and teammate Ted Bowsfield is 2-0 with a 2.14 ERA.

Kansas City may have the best quartet of relievers in the league, with–in addition to Pfeffer as the closer–Craig Kimbrel, who has been virtually unhittable, at 1-1 with a 2.37 ERA and a WHIP of 1.00 and Adam Wainwright and Frank DiPino. Wainwright has only an 0-1 record, but a 1.80 ERA and 0.96 WHIP and DiPino is 0-2 with 1 save and 2 holds along with a 1.74 ERA.

The House of David’s Bob Rush may be the closest competition Wainwright has as a high inning reliever. Rush is 3-1 with a 1.66 ERA and a 0.88 WHIP. Some would argue that Baltimore’s Ned Garvin belongs here as well–Garvin has made 2 starts and 8 relief appearances, accumulating a 3-1 record with 2 holds and a 2.62 ERA with a 0.96 WHIP.

Chuck Finley‘s role for Los Angeles has been in flux all year, but he’s been excellent no matter how he’s been used, at 2-0 with 4 holds and a 2.96 ERA to go along with a 1.11 WHIP.

The AI’s choices are somewhat inexplicable: Finley, Baltimore’s Buddy Groom (0-0, 1 save, 4 holds, 2.42 ERA), Lavelle, and the Gothams‘ Mike Norris (1-1, 1 hold, 2.25 ERA). I mean, I love me some Mike Norris, but …

I would project five relievers as Henke, Papelbon, Finley, Kimbrel, and Wainwright. But it’s very unpredictable this early in the game.

TWIWBL Special Edition: All Star Preview – NL Starting Pitchers

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On July 14, 2021

In All Star Games, TWIWBL

{ The All-Star game is about a month away. We’ll post occasional articles about the contenders for participation in the mid-season classic. These are written “as of now,” so the final selections may vary dramatically, but hopefully these will add to the ongoing flavor of the league. }

We’ll start with the starting pitchers. Note that the NL is actually the Marvin Miller & Effa Manley Divisions.

First, the shoo-in. Portland‘s Walter Johnson is 6-0 with a 3.07 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and 1.9 WAR. Only a massive collapse would prevent Big Train from being the inaugural starter for the NL.

After Johnson, it gets cloudy very quickly.

Brooklyn‘s Don Drysdale was hit hard in his most recent start, seeing his ERA move all the way to 2.41. That’s impressive, but it puts him behind Miami‘s Camilo Pascual at 2.26, and both hurlers have records of 4-1.

The Black Yankees‘ Ron Guidry has a record of only 4-3, but a 3.41 ERA and a WBL-leading 76 strikeouts, along with a 1.12 WHIP, given him a strong case. It’s an interesting comparison with Ray Collins (PHI), who is 4-1 with a 2.87 ERA, but a WHIP just under 1.3, and more walks than strikeouts.

Cleveland‘s Whit Wyatt is 3-1, but if he continues to maintain a 2.41 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP, along with a sub 4.00 FIP, he’ll have to be in the conversation. Another Spiders’ hurler, Cy Young, is emerging as well. Young is only 2-2 for his record, but has a 3.26 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP and 1.2 WAR.

Miami’s Tommy Bridges was added to the rotation after the start of the season, but has performed well, with a 3-0 record and a 2.87 ERA.

The AI thinks the NL should take fifteen pitchers, eleven of them starters, to the all-star game. That’s not going to happen.

If I had to pick five, thinking about likely future performance, they would be Johnson, Drysedale, Pascual, Guidry, and Young.

TWIWBL Special Edition: All Star Preview – AL Starting Pitchers

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On July 13, 2021

In All Star Games, TWIWBL

{ The All-Star game is about a month away. We’ll post occasional articles about the contenders for participation in the mid-season classic. These are written “as of now,” so the final selections may vary dramatically, but hopefully these will add to the ongoing flavor of the league. }

We’ll start with the starting pitchers. Note that the AL is actually the Bill James & Cum Posey Divisions.

As the only 6-game winner in these divisions, Gerrit Cole (LAA) has the inside track on a spot, even if his performance may not strictly warrant it. Still, 6-2 with a WHIP under 1.3 and 1.8 WAR is pretty good, even if his ERA is slightly over 4.

CC Sabathia (HOD) has better numbers (2.73 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 1.9 WAR) and at 5-2 a very similar record. Chicago’s Tricky Nichols sits at 4-1 with a 3.93 ERA, and could certainly be selected if the wins keep piling up.

From there, it’s pretty wide open.

Baltimore’s Johnny Sain and Dennis Martinez are both at 4-1. Martinez has better numbers–a 3.42 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP–but the challenge is whether they can keep those levels up for the next month or so. Kansas City’s Andy Petite is 3-2, but with a 3.66 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP and is certainly in the conversation, as is Ben Sheets (CAG), whose 1.18 WHIP and 4-2 record are more impressive than his 3.98 ERA.

If you look past identical 2-3 records, Sad Sam Jones (NYG), Jack Taylor (HOD), and Hank Aguirre (DET) have good numbers. They sit second through fourth in ERA (from 3.15 for Jones to 3.44 for Aguirre) and WHIPs all at roughly 1.2. Aguirre is injured, but it’s currently unknown how much time–if any–he’ll miss.

Two Memphis hurlers, Roger Clemens and Nixey Callahan, have a shot as well, but you have to look pretty deep at the numbers. Clemens is 0-4 on the season with an ERA approaching 6, but his WHIP is under 1.4 and he has the 3rd lowest FIP at 3.63. Callahan is 3-4 with a far more acceptable 3.68 ERA and is holding opposition batters to a .230 BA.

Similarly, Kansas City’s Frank Castillo‘s record is only 2-4, and his ERA is pushing 4.00. But his FIP is 3.20 and he’s racked up 1.7 WAR, so a few wins could move him to the center of the contenders.

Two more long shots: Chicago’s Ed Walsh leads these divisions in strikeouts with 55, and the Gothams’ Christy Mathewson is third with 47. Walsh sits at 3-3 with a 4.00 ERA and Mathewson is 4-4 with a 4.62 ERA. Both have been hit hard, but if they can improve would have a strong argument.

The AI would select Jones, Martinez, Sabathia, Taylor, and, in a surprise, Stubby Overmire of Houston. Two things led to Overmire’s inclusion: first, the AI thinks he is Houston’s only player; second, he has pitched well: a 2.35 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP, but it’s only over 3 starts and an 0-1 record. So I doubt that happens.

My prediction would be … Cole, Sabathia, Nichols, Walsh, and Martinez.

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