Baseball The Way It Never Was

Tag: Jimmy Dykes

Year II Season Preview: Ottawa Mounties

Expectations

To not suck.

Beyond that, sorting through some of the young talent and making commitments around how is part of the long-term project and who is not would go a long way towards clarifying Ottawa’s future. Staying healthy would go a ways towards this, especially on the mound.

Best Case

Bob Moose, Bob Brown, and Roy Halladay all return strong from injuries, joining Old Hoss Radbourn in a decent pitching staff and the core talent sorts itself out, especially in the OF.

Worst Case

The pitching continues to be among the worst in the league and none of the massive potential of Randy Johnson, Ken Griffey Jr or Álex Rodríguez comes to the surface.

Key Questions

  • Can the staff both deliver and stay healthy?
  • Who is the bullpen?
  • How the young talent sorts itself out.

Trade Bait

Not really. Radbourn has some value, but he also was the only quasi reliable arm for the Mounties last season.

Well, that was interesting: Griffey, Jr. was moved on, netting Adrián Beltré plus.

Roster Evaluation

POSEliteStrongSolidMehWeakUnknown
CCarterAusmus
1BStaubWatson
2BAlomar
3BBeltré
SSRodríguezDorgan
LF/
RF
WalkerRainesThompson
CFBeltránMonday
SPHalladayRadbournMoosePeters
Griffith
Johnson
Podgajny
Hammaker
EndHenkeDempsterRyan
RPGregg
Shaw
Collins
New Addition | Injured

Over half the roster is either unknown or was pretty horrible last year. Hence the goal being merely not to suck.

Talent Ratings

WBLMinors
Raw PowerC Gary CarterOF Jim Lemon
Batting EyeIF Roberto Alomar1B Nick Johnson
ContactIF Álex RodríguezOF Terry Puhl
Running SpeedU Tim RainesOF George Burns
Base StealingU Tim RainesOF George Burns
IF Defense3B Adrián BeltréIF Dick Bertell
OF DefenseOF Sam ThompsonOF Jason Heyward
StuffP Charles RadbournP Reggie Richter
ControlSP Roy HalladayP Curt Davis
VelocityRP Ryan Dempster
RP Tom Henke
RP Greg Holland

Best In The Minors

RankAgePOSName
1 (4)23PAl Orth
2 (30)21PDan Haren
3 (50)23PMax Scherzer
4 (70)221BBob Watson
5 (80)201BJohn Mayberry
6 (102)202BJimmy Dykes
7 (106)19PMark Eichhorn
8 (181)20CMilt May
9 (183)22PDupee Shaw
Others: None.

It’s not a bad system, but it lacks–beyond the top arms–top end potential. Watson and Shaw both start the season with the Mounties.

MostLeast
AgeP Ken Forsch, 38IF Elbie Fletcher, 19
P Mark Eichhorn, 19
OF Warren Cromartie, 19
P Dave Bennett
HeightP Randy Johnson, 6’10”OF Wee Willie Keeler, 5’4″
OPS1B Dale Long, 1.236 (—)IF Mike Sharperson, .526 (—)
HR1B Dale Long, 66 (—)IF Larry Kopf, 0 (—)
IF Mike Dorgan, 0 (—)
SBU Tim Raines, 92 (WBL)Many with 0
WAR1B Vic Saier, 5.0 (—)IF Mike Sharperson, -2.3 (—)
WDanny Cox, 16 (—)Jesse Crain, 1 (AAA/AA)
SVRyan Dempster, 16 (WBL/AAA)
Pedro Ramos, 16 (—)
ERAMark Grant, 2.31 (—)Randy Johnson, 6.60 (WBL/AAA)
WARCharles Radbourn, 4.4 (WBL)Monk Dubiel, -1.6 (WBL/AAA)
Stats are across all levels. 200 PA / 75 IP min. Non WBL leagues indicated by —.

TWIWBL 56.17: Spring Training Notes – Ottawa Mounties

Spring Training Questions

1st and 2nd round picks Max Scherzer and Al Orth will be given the opportunity to make the opening day staff, and the bullpen behind presumed closer Ryan Dempster is wide open.

While Carlos Beltrán goes in as the presumed starter in CF, Ken Griffey Jr will again be given a long look.

First Cuts

Ottawa’s pitching staff is a bit clearer, as there have been some horrible performances. Jesse Crain, Max Scherzer, Kid Camp, Dan Haren, Mike Minor, and Al Orth have all moved to the minors. That leaves only 15 arms in camp, so look for some recalls if others in camp struggle or face injuries. Chuck Taylor, Dupee Shaw, and Dave Gregg have all been pleasant surprises so far.

The starting C job belongs to Gary Carter. But Emil Gross and Brad Ausmus are pushing Jim Stephens for the backup role, with Milt May and Einar Díaz both leaving camp.

1B and 3B are wide open, with Bob Watson‘s fast start (combined with his solid debut last season) making him an early favorite at 1B and Art Devlin and Ryon Healy making arguments at the hot corner. 3B Josh Donaldson and 1Bs John Mayberry, Tino Martinez, and Nick Johnson all hit the minors.

In the middle of the infield, the Mounties have gone with a very aggressive approach, sending Julio Gotay, Everett Scott, Jose Vidro, Bernie Allen, and Dick Bartell all to the minors. That leaves them with only 6 2B/SS, making this another position where later recalls are possible. Jimmy Dykes, Henry Easterday, and Mike Dorgan have all impressed, although this moves seems to indicate more than anything else that Álex Rodríguez will be the opening day SS, even though some believe his eventual position will be at third.

Rick Monday and Sam Thompson have impressed in the OF, with Wee Willie Keeler and Jackie Jensen the only early casualties. This will be a clear focus for Ottawa, as a leading priority for them is sorting through their options in the OF and, perhaps most of all, figuring out what to do with Ken Griffey Jr, who continues to struggle mightily in CF.

Second Cuts

The Mounties had made such deep cuts earlier that only one arm was moved this time, with Rick Honeycutt heading to the minors. That’s not to say the rest have done well: Bob Brown and Bob Moose–both of whom were supposed to contend for rotation spots–have struggled, as has presumed closer Ryan Dempster.

The competition at 1B is thick, prompting Ottawa to send Roy Sievers, who spent most of last season in the WBL, to their minor league camp.

Third Cuts

With only 14 arms in camp, the pitching staff remains unchanged. There is concern over Bob Brown and Old Hoss Radbourn, two of last year’s bright spots, who are struggling mightily this Spring.

John Olerud, Henry Easterday, and Jason Heyward head to AAA. Easterday’s demotion leaves only two SS in camp: Álex Rodríguez and the surprising Mike Dorgan.

Gary Carter is the starting C for sure, but the battle to back him up is running tight between Jim Stephens, Brad Ausmus, and Emil Gross.

The OF is a total mess, with rumors emerging that the Mounties are shopping the immense talent of Ken Griffey, Jr in the hope that a change of scenery might unlock his bat. George Burns is only in camp due to a strong season last year, but he’s on the edge for sure. Rick Monday, Jesse Burkett, Terry Puhl, Sam Thompson, and Bill O’Neill are all hitting well enough to warrant consideration for 2 or 3 reserve spots.

Final Cuts

3B Ryon Healy was tearing up Spring Training for a while, but has since come back to earth. With the arrival of Adrián Beltré, Healy’s future for the start of the season is in the minors, as is CF Bill O’Neill‘s. They are joined by Tino Martinez: 1B was always pretty blocked for the Mounties and Martinez hasn’t shown enough to add his name to the list.

Pedro Ramos had a brief stint with the big league team before heading off to AAA. Dan Collins was placed on IR and Chuck Taylor (also injured) was sent to AAA, preserving the spot on the 40 man roster. That left the Mounties with 3 players to go to get to 30. One was Emil Gross, leaving 3 catchers in camp (4 if you count Mike Dorgan), the second was 2B Jimmy Dykes, who turned a lot of heads with his Spring performance, and the last was veteran OF Jesse Burkett.

Bob Moose, Bob Brown, Ryan Dempster, and Hoss Radbourn were among the few bright spots on the mound for Ottawa last season. They are among the worst performers this Spring, making all of the roster choices all that much more difficult. Brown’s wildness was inescapable, and he was moved to AAA to see if he could work it out. That left a dozen arms in camp, but with so many of them–Atlee Hammaker, Dupee Shaw, Dave Gregg, BJ Ryan–being essentially unproven, the Mounties would like to open the season with a larger staff than most teams will carry.

Gary Carter remains the starting catcher, but Brad Ausmus‘ fantastic Spring moved him ahead of Jim Stephens as Carter’s backup with Stephens heading to the minors along with OFs George Burns and Terry Puhl. The final cut was a hard one, as Art Devlin was among the most impressive Spring performers. But Devlin was likely blocked at Ottawa, so he heads down to AAA to start the season, keeping both Bob Watson and Sam Thompson on the WBL roster to open the season.

Season Review: Ottawa Mounties

69 - 85, .448 pct.
4th in Cum Posey Division, 22 games behind.

Overall

With low expectations come limited success, or some such.

Ottawa has some interesting pieces, a ton of raw talent, and very little to show for it all. Future success hinges on the development of that talent–Ken Griffey, Jr, Álex Rodríguez, and Randy Johnson, I’m looking at you.

As is often the case with teams that struggle, there were some decent high spots on offense but a bit of a mess on the mound.

What Went Right

Not a lot.

Larry Walker, Tim Raines, and Gary Carter each established themselves as legitimate WBL players, although each of them are just outside the upper tier at their position in the league (Walker only through seemingly being injury prone).

Carlos Beltrán did enough to put himself on the roster next year, and Rusty Staub hit well for Ottawa after being acquired in trade.

Old Hoss Radbourn and, before getting injured, Roy Halladay both look like front of rotation arms for Ottawa. Ryan Dempster stepped into the absence created by Tom Henke‘s injury quite well. Some other starters–Bob Moose, Bob Brown, and Clayton Richard especially–flashed some potential in limited innings, going 14-6 over a combined 30 starts.

The Mounties are an incredibly young organization: in one sense, merely surviving went right if 7 of your starters are 23 or under.

ALL STARS
SS Freddy Parent

What Went Wrong

Roberto Alomar faded and neither Álex Rodríguez nor Ken Griffey, Jr. did anything to live up to their massive potential. Across the board, it seemed like the best players could do was meh offensively.

Most of the pitching was horrible, and when not poor, greatly inconsistent (with Randy Johnson being the best example). Jim Clancy–whose 0.0 WAR was an accurate representation of his quality–was the only pitcher other than Radbourn and Halladay with over 100 IP.

Overall, there was just an absence of quality for the Mounties.

Trade Evaluations

March

None

June

IF Steve Garvey, OF Spud Johnson, 1B Carlos Delgado to Los Angeles for OF Rusty Staub, P Dave Bennett, OF Carlos Beltrán, C Jim Stephens & P Sean O'Sullivan

Seems fine–Delgado’s loss this year hurt, but Staub (a franchise player) and Beltrán offer a lot of future value.

IF Freddy Parent to Chicago for IF Sibby Sisti, OF Bob Watson, and IF Rickie Weeks

Parent was Ottawa’s only all star, so the drop in quality hurt. But it does clear the way for Á-Rod (which may or may not be a good thing if his performance doesn’t pick up), and Watson looks promising.

RP Gary Lavelle & P Jamie Moyer to Black Yankees for IF Dick Bartell, OF Sam Thompson & 4th Round Pick {Mark Eichhorn}

Seems fine, maybe a little light if neither Bartell nor Thompson see WBL time.

July

P Steve Howe, OF George Van Haltren, 5th Round Pick & 6th Round Pick to New York Gothams for P Jeremy Affeldt, P Bob Moose, OF George Burns, IF Art Devlin & 3rd Round Pick

All reasonable, as both Moose and Burns have some promise.

Looking Forward

SP

Radbourn and Halladay should be solid for years to come, and there is great excitement over the potential of Randy Johnson. Beyond that, it’s a lot of question marks.

RP

If Henke can bounce back from injury, he and Dempster should be solid here, and there are some decent arms behind them.

C

Carter should have this locked up for quite a while.

1B

Long term, a mixture of John Olerud and John Mayberry should handle this, but there are no great immediate options, unless Staub and Bob Watson can handle it.

2B

Even with his late season fade, this should be Roberto Alomar‘s position, especially as Raines shifts permanently to the outfield.

3B

An area of need, as neither Anthony Rendon nor Larry Parrish impressed.

SS

It’s assumed that Rodríguez will hold this down.

LF

Raines should play here more and more.

CF

This gets more interesting, as either Betrán or Griffey, Jr. could be here long term, with the other moving to a corner OF position.

RF

Walker as long as he’s healthy, with others, including Staub, filling in.

The Rookie Draft

Rounds 1-4

There are some tempting choices out there, but Max Scherzer being a franchise selection who looks almost ready for the majors makes him the choice. The 2nd round was a much harder selection, but the Mounties eventually settled on Al Orth, partially because he should be able to help out at the major league level somewhat immediately.

1B is a bit unsettled for the franchise, so Elbie Fletcher made sense in the 3rd round. Fletcher is a ways away from helping at the WBL level, but he could be in the mix eventually. In the last part of that round, they took another arm: 22 year old Dan Haren.

In the 4th round, the Mounties took 2B Jimmy Dykes with their final franchise exemption and rubber armed reliever Mark Eichhorn with their other pick that round.

Rounds 5-8

Ottawa needs quality across the board, but being limited to franchise selections may make that challenging. They start in the 7th round with OF Warren Cromartie and follow that in the 8th with SP Dupee Shaw.

Rounds 9-12

IF Joey Cora; OF Leon Roberts; P Billy Koch; and P Chuck Taylor.

TWIWBL 53.1: THE DRAFT – The Preview

Alright, here it comes … the first year player draft in the WBL is a big deal, especially this year as a mixture of additional talent and the dissolution of some independent leagues has really elevated the talent pool.

The goal was to make the first 5 or 6 rounds all contain potentially worthy players.

Each team may make up to 4 “free” picks, meaning they can select anyone remaining in the game. For the rest of their selections, they are limited to players historically attached (meaning, a significant amount of their playing time) to their franchises.

Here are the teams, listed in the draft order, and their number of picks per round in the draft for the first 10 rounds (rounds 11 and 12 are unchanged, with each team having 1 pick):

Team12345678910Tot
PHI2211111112
MCG121211111
KCM13111111113
HOM2221111114
OTT1122111112
MEM11131111113
SFS1111118
LAA111212111114
IND121122111115
BRK21111121112
HOU11311111113
NYY1111112111
HOD131221113
BBB11222111215
POR1231111113
CLE11111111111
NYG3211110
CAG112111110
DET1111111110
BAL121111110
Portland also has a supplemental pick after Round One for the loss of Gavvy Cravath via free agency.

A few things jump out from that:

  • San Francisco clearly made a mess of the season, finishing both with the 7th worst record on the season and having traded away most of their draft capital in deals in June when they still looked to have a shot to contend.
  • Birmingham, tied with Indianapolis for the most picks, did so while still making the playoffs.
  • Kansas City, Homestead, and the House of David each have 4 picks over the first 2 rounds.

Here’s how the AI sees the top twenty prospects, along with the franchises that are eligible to draft them.

#NamePosAgeFranchises
1Bullet Joe RoganSP27KCM
2Vladimir GuerreroOF19LAA,OTT
3Ed Delahanty2B20PHI
4Al OrthSP23NYY, PHI
5Mickey HughesSP20
6Hugh DuffyOF20BBB
7Kyle TuckerOF18HOU
8Edgar Martínez3B20OTT
9Clayton KershawSP18BRK
10Chuck KleinOF22PHI
11Doc NewtonSP21
12Joe TorreC20BBB,KCM
13Tim LincecumSP21NYG
14Ralph KinerOF19HOM
15Ichiro SuzukiOF28OTT
16Steve BrodieOF20BAL
17Ben TincupSP19PHI
18Carlos Baerga3B18CLE
19Earl AverillOF24CLE
20Josh BeckettSP20MEM.MCG

That is, of course, a really odd list in places (Mickey Hughes, anyone?). So here are the next 20, in no particular order and according to me.

#NamePosAgeFranchises
1Trea Turner2B20OTT
2Darren DaultonC18PHI
3Ad GumbertSP18HOD
4Julio RodríguezOF19OTT
5Joe Cunningham1B21KCM
6Lenny DykstraOF20PHI,LAA
7Aubrey Huff3B21MCG
8Noah SyndergaardSP21LAA
9Matt MorrisSP21KCM
10George SelkirkOF24NYY
11Walter BallSP26CAG
12César CedeñoOF17HOU
13Jimmy Dykes2B20SFS
14Charlie FergusonSP19PHI
15Zack GreinkeSP19HOU,BRK
16Bryan HarveyRP22LAA
17Pink HawleySP20HOM
18Jack KramerSP18BAL
19Jim MaloneySP19IND
20Max ScherzerSP23OTT,DET

Results for each team are listed in their Season Review pages, coming soon.

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