Baseball The Way It Never Was

Tag: Ted Lyons

TWIWBL 73.2 Spotlight on the Chicago American Giants

The American Giants were a strong playoff team last year. At the halfway mark this season, they find themselves 14 games back in the Cum Posey Division, but only 2.5 games back in the Wild Card race.

But, it’s not enough: this team should be doing better.

HOME PAGE | ROSTER | POSITIONAL STRENGTH | LEADERS

The problems are clear: an offense that falls off dramatically after its top half, struggles on the mound, and issues at a couple key positions (CF and SS). The solutions aren’t so obvious, and if things aren’t better by mid-August, the American Giants are a candidate to mortgage their future to address those shortcomings.

THE OFFENSE

The top end–Frank Thomas, Joe Jackson, Eddie Collins, and the surprising Paul Konerko are all excellent and, especially if Dick Allen regains his stroke, may be enough to carry Chicago in a playoff run. But Chicago regularly trots out 5 starters with OPS’ below .750, leaving too many holes.

#What’s Going Right

The big 4 are stunning. Thomas and Shoeless Joe are virtually tied in OPS around .975, with Konerko not too far behind.

Carlton Fisk lags behind in OPS, but as a C, he’s well above average, and leads the American Giants with 21 homers. Thomas leads in RBIs and Jackson has an incredible 41 2Bs.

Collins isn’t the all around leader of last season, but 309/406/418 with 41 SBs from a middle infielder is nothing to sneeze at.

#What’s Not Going Right

The 2 obvious problems are SS and CF. Freddy Parent, picked up at last year’s All-Star break, has been thoroughly disappointing, with an OPS under .550 (although he has flashed some decent leather). Damian Jackson has been given some opportunities, but has fared even worse offensively.

In CF, 18 year old Cristóbal Torriente is clearly still a large part of Chicago’s future. But he may not be part of their present: 188/235/245 won’t cut it, no matter how fast you are or how good you are in the field. This issue has gotten better: Vernon Wells has taken over for Torriente, and is doing alright.

I have no idea how to evaluate Mike Fiore. He’s hitting .181, but his OBP is .340, and he has 12 homers. Is that going right? Going wrong? No idea, but I think going wrong.

Duffy Lewis was injured at the start of the year, and hasn’t clicked since, and is increasingly losing time to Kevin Mitchell in LF.

THE PITCHING

It’s not bad. And some of it–Ed Walsh, Akinori Otsuka–is downright excellent. But everything else needs to step forward.

#What’s Going Right

Last year’s Rookie of the Year, Ed Walsh, is pitching fantastically, despite a modest 6-4 record, sporting a 3.55 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP.

Akinori Otsuka, Tom Williams, and Hoyt Wilhelm are a very solid trio in the bullpen, especially Otsuka and Williams.

#What’s Not Going Right

Last year’s ace, Tricky Nichols, has struggled mightily, with an ERA approaching 7.00, and is in danger of losing his spot in the rotation.

The trio of Jamie Moyer, Ben Sheets, and Mark Buehrle have been … thoroughly meh. Just meh. Meh not’s good enough for the playoffs.

AJ Minter has a dozen saves, but also an ERA of roughly 6.50.

THE FARM SYSTEM

TOP PROSPECTS | MINOR LEAGUE SYSTEM

The jewel of the system is the much-traveled Chino Smith. What’s not clear is if Smith will be used as trade bait at the deadline or be asked to move to SS–he’s not going to unseat Collins at 2B.

There is some decent OF talent here: Lenny Dykstra, Walter Davis, Henry Cotto, and Jorge Orta has the bat, if not the glove, to help a WBL team.

On the mound, Jacob deGrom, Harry Buckner, Scott Radinsky, and Ted Lyons all have some ceiling.

So, yeah, some help here.

WHAT’S NEEDED

The bottom of the lineup to step forward, and the pitching overall to improve a shade across the board.

Storylines to Watch

Key Questions from Spring Training

  • How is the rotation going to fall out? Can Ed Walsh handle a fulltime starting role, and can Mark Buehrle and Ben Sheets handle the back end of the rotation? Still a question, with Walsh, Buehrle, and Sheets now being asked to move up in the rotation.
  • How long do the American Giants stick with Parent–he’s fine, but his level of play over the second half of the season (after the American Giants picked him up from Ottawa) was below championship. How long, indeed.

FEATURED SERIES

The American Giants start the week hosting Memphis for 4 games, so we’ll look at those.

Projected Starters

Memphis’ starter listed first.

David Bush (5-3, 5.98) @ Tricky Nichols (4-8, 6.89)
Jameson Taillon (2-3, 5.12) @ Ben Sheets (4-9, 5.69)
Stubby Overmire (8-6, 4.70) @ Ed Walsh (6-4, 3.55)
Jon Lester (5-4, 5.61) @ Mark Buehrle (6-8, 4.61)

So. Much. Mediocrity. Although the Overmire-Walsh tilt should be a good one. Both teams can score a lot of runs, so let’s say this one goes 2-2.

Before the first game, the American Giants made a move, promoting Rocky Colavito to the big leagues to take the place of Mike Fiore. Colavito and Mitchell will split time in LF, with Duffy Lewis taking on an unfamiliar bench role.

Game One

Carlton Fisk put the American Giants up 1-0 in the 2nd with a solo shot to left. Joe Jackson added to the lead the next inning with a sacrifice fly to deep center, scoring Freddy Parent. Fisk would add a 3rd run in the most unlikely of ways: a walk, a stolen base, and then crossing the plate on a single from Vernon Wells, and Dick Allen would go deep in the 4th, increasing the lead to 4-0.

Tricky Nichols recaptured some of his form from last year, holding the Red Sox scoreless until Gabby Hartnett hit a 2-run shot in the top of the 7th, closing gap to 4-2 and chasing Nichols from the mound in favor of Hoyt Wilhelm. Wilhelm got through the inning without further damage, other than a double from Dobie Moore.

A homer from Wells was offset by a sacrifice fly from Ted Williams, so the lead was still 2, at 5-3 in favor of Chicago.

The American Giants added a couple in the 8th with the key hits being a triple from Jackson and another RBI hit form Fisk. It turned out to matter, as David Ortiz took AJ Minter deep with 2 on and 2 out in the top of the 9th, bringing Memphis within 1 run at 7-6. Minter was able to induce a groundout from Wade Boggs, bringing home the victory for Chicago.

MEM 6 (Feliciano 0-1; Kennedy 6 BSv; Kilby 2 BSv) @ CAG 7 (Ryan 2-2)
HRs: MEM – Hartnett (18), Ortiz (20); CAG – Fisk (22), Allen (17), Wells (8).
Box Score

Game Two

Game 2 will pit Memphis’ Jameson Taillon against Chicago’s Ben Sheets in a matchup of end-of-rotation starters.

Memphis took the lead in the 3rd, scoring 1 on a Wade Boggs double and 2 more on a two-bagger from Bill White. Dobie Moore added a solo shot in the 4th, making it 4-0.

Taillon was sailing along, holding Chicago scoreless through 6. But Joe Jackson singled and Frank Thomas went deep, halving the deficit and chasing Taillon. Sheets, who calmed down after Moore’s shot, lasted until 1 out in the 7th, when a double from Reggie Smith sent him to the showers.

Joe Lake, Sheets’ replacement, gave up an RBI single to Ted Williams, increasing Memphis’ lead to 5-2, cut to 5-3 when Jackson tripled home Eddie Collins. Dave Nilsson singled in one in the 8th, but Andrew Miller got Collins to groundout with the bases loaded, keeping the Red Sox up by 1, 5-4.

An RBI from Smith sent us to the bottom of the 9th with the Red Sox up, 6-4, with their closer, Jonathan Papelbon, coming in from the bullpen.

Papelbon whiffed 2, and the series was tied at a game apiece.

Moore and Smith had 3 hits each for the Red Sox.

MEM 6 (Taillon 3-3; Papelbon 14 Sv; de la Cruz 1 H; Roach 9 H; Miller 8 H) @ CAG 4 (Sheets 4-10)
HRs: MEM – Moore (8); CAG – Thomas (20).
Box Score

Game Three

Tied at one, we get the premier pitching matchup of the series, with Memphis’ Stubby Overmire taking on Chicago’s Ed Walsh. It’s a bit of an odd game for the American Giants, with several regulars getting the day off, resulting in a bit of a patchwork lineup. So, we’ll see.

Walsh gave up 2 in the 2nd on 2-out RBI’s from DJ LeMahieu and Billy Bryan. Reggie Smith hit his 23rd homer of the year in the 5th, extending the lead to 3-0. Meanwhile, Overmire was dealing, holding Chicago scoreless through 5 on only 2 hits. despite loading the bases in the 2nd.

Overmire departed in the 7th after surrendering his 6th walk, to Rocky Colavito, and an infield hit to Freddy Parent. Heath Bell loaded the bases, but escaped without damage.

That was it, really: Bell pitched well in the 8th and Jonathan Papelbon shut the door in the 9th on a combined 3 hit shutout.

MEM 3 (Overmire 9-6; Papelbon 15 Sv; Bell 5 H) @ CAG 0 (Walsh 6-5)
HRs: MEM – Smith (23); CAG – none.
Box Score

Game Four

The American Giants will try to salvage a split behind Mark Buehrle who will be opposed by Memphis’ Jon Lester.

The full strength lineup for the American Giants came through immediately, as Frank Thomas launched a 3 run homerun in the bottom of the 1st. But Jack McAleese–who seems to have locked down the utility OF spot for the Red Sox–drove home 2 in the 2nd and scored on a base hit from Dobie Moore, tying the game at 3.

Ted Williams launched his 25th of the year in the 3rd, giving Memphis a 1 run lead. Chicago evened the score the following inning on a sacrifice fly from Paul Konerko. That lasted into the top of the 5th, when Williams went deep again, this time with a man on. 6-4 Memphis. Buehrle made it into the 6th but a DJ LeMahieu double chased him from the game. His relief, David Price, allowed 2 more runs, making the edge 8-4, Red Sox.

Lester got through the 5th, but by that point he had given up 7 walks and was clearly fatigued. Then, suddenly and surprisingly, the relievers figured out how to pitch, keeping it scoreless until Memphis added a few more in the top of the 9th.

Just about the only bad news for Memphis was Moore having to leave the game after being hit on the hand with a pitch: his ultimate injury status is yet to be known.

MEM 11 (Lester 6-4; Roach 1 Sv) @ CAG 4 (Buehrle 6-9)
HRs: MEM – Williams 2 (26); CAG – Thomas (21).
Box Score

This is emblematic of everything disappointing about Chicago’s year so far: loss after loss and question after question of what if and what’s next. This team needs some help: immediately, they are looking at sending AJ Minter down to AAA and installing Akinori Otsuku as the closer, but it’s going to take more than that.

Year II Season Preview: Chicago American Giants

Expectations

Championship contention. The offense is just too good not to warrant it, even if moves need to be made in the pitching corps.

Best Case

The offense continues as one of the very best in the league, and enough pitching is found to navigate the postseason.

Worst Case

The fringe of the offense–Freddy Parent, Mike Fiore, whomever is run out there in LF–reverts and the pitching collapses.

Key Questions

  • How is the rotation going to fall out? Can Ed Walsh handle a fulltime starting role, and can Mark Buehrle and Ben Sheets handle the back end of the rotation?
  • How long do the American Giants stick with Parent–he’s fine, but his level of play over the second half of the season (after the American Giants picked him up from Ottawa) was below championship.

Trade Bait

There are some pieces in the minors, and this is a team that needs pitching, so there is some potential here.

Roster Evaluation

POSEliteStrongSolidMehWeakUnknown
CFiskNilsson
1BThomasKonerko
2BCollins
3BAllen
SSParentJackson
LF/
RF
JacksonLewisMitchellDoyle
CFFioreTorrienteWells
SPNichols
Price
Walsh
SheetsBuehrle
EndMinterWilhelmOtsukaLoes
RPLillyTwitchell
New Addition | Injured

Table says it all: if the pitching comes through, this is a championship contender.

Talent Ratings

WBLMinors
Raw Power1B Frank ThomasOF Rocky Colavito
Batting Eye2B Eddie Collins3B Paul Schaal
ContactOF Joe JacksonOF Bibb Falk
Running Speed2B Eddie Collins
IF Damian Jackson
OF Mike Cameron
Base StealingU Jack DoyleOF Jack McGeachey
IF Defense1B Paul Konerko1B Ruben Amaro Sr
OF DefenseCF Vernon WellsCF Lance Johnson
StuffSP Ed WalshRP Bob Ferguson
ControlSP Ben SheetsRP Bob Bruce
VelocityRP Akinori OtsukaRP Alex Reyes

Best In The Minors

RankAgePOSName
1 (29)22OFWalter Davis
2 (69)21OFLenny Dykstra
3 (87)24PJacob deGrom
4 (110)22PDoc Sykes
5 (146)23PTed Lyons
6 (158)24PHarry Buckner
7 (175)23IFJorge Orta
Others: None.

The table says it all: this is a weak farm system in need of replenishment.

MostLeast
AgeOF Steve Braun, 36
P Jamie Moyer, 36
OF Cristóbal Torriente, 18
HeightP David Price, 6’6″OF Ned Cuthbert, 5’6″
OPSOF Carson Bigbee, 1.028 (—)C Tubby Spencer, .499 (—)
HROF Carson Bigbee, 42 (—)2B Danny Murtaugh, 0 (AAA/AA)
SB2B Eddie Collins, 61 (WBL)Many with 0
WAR2B Eddie Collins, 6.5 (WBL)C Tubby Spencer, -3.2 (—)
WTricky Nichols, 15 (WBL)Lee Meadows, 2 (WBL/AAA/AA)
SVRich Garces, 35 (WBL)
ERAFrank Smith, 3.01 (WBL/AAA)Lee Meadows, 7.48 (WBL/AAA/AA)
WARJoe Lake, 5.7 (WBL/AAA)Will Smith, -0.9 (—)
Stats are across all levels. 200 PA / 75 IP min. Non WBL leagues indicated by —.

TWIWBL 9.1: AA Roundup

Featured Team: Madison Black Wolf (Chicago)

Chicago‘s AA affiliate in Madison started the year fine, with a 6-5 record after 11 games. Since then, they’ve lost fifteen consecutive games. They are certainly not that bad of a team, as 7 of the defeats have been by a single run. But still, 6-20–and 12 games back after a month–is not good.

No pitcher has more than a single win, with Harry “Green River” Buckner having probably been the best of them, despite a 1-4, 5.63 ERA showing so far. Ted Lyons (1-3, 5.52) and Sean Gallagher (0-3, 5.89) have pitched better than their records as well. Closer Scott Radinsky does have 2 saves and a 1.69 ERA but, as you may expect, has not had many opportunities.

The best offensive performer for the Black Wolf was OF Magglio Ordonez (320/397/660), but he was promoted to AAA Milwaukee. That leaves 20-year old SS/OF Jack Doyle (280/342/500) at the heart of Madison’s lineup. OF Henry Cotto has 7 HRs and 20 RBIs and is slashing 245/286/481. And there’s not a lot else.

Lyons, Gallagher, and Doyle are all under 22, and are currently the brightest prospects on the Black Wolf.

Top AA Performers

Jimmie Foxx (Sacramento/San Francisco) and Joe Rudi (Montgomery/Birmingham) have been the dominant offensive forces at AA, with both recently promoted to AAA. Foxx slashed 358/456/821 with 9 HRs at Sacramento and Rudi 359/400/859 for Montgomery. Atlantic City (Philadelphia)’s Prince Fielder leads AA with 13 HRs, and Fort Worth (Detroit)’s Bill Sweeney is hitting .400. More impressively, Oklahoma City (Kansas City)’s Johnny Bassler is keeping his OBP just shy of .500 at .495.

Of those, none are over the age of 22, and Bassler is only 17, so all should be considered prospects.

On the mound, three starters still have sub-2.00 ERAs: Sacramento (San Francisco)’s Turk Wendell at 2-0, 1.19; Charlotte (Baltimore)’s Dave Smith at 2-0, 1.64; and San Diego (Los Angeles)’s Sean O’Sullivan at 2-0, 1.71. Wendell also has a stellar 0.79 WHIP.

Syracuse (Homestead)’s Vern Law is 5-0 with a 2.97 ERA, but his future may be at 1B and not on the mound–clearly, though, if he keeps this up, he’ll progress as a hurler. Steve Bedrosian (Montgomery/Birmingham) and Mark Williamson (Charlotte/Baltimore) lead AA with 9 saves each.

Awards

AA Pitcher of the Month: Mark Williamson (Charlotte/Baltimore), 2-0, 9 Sv, 0.00 ERA.
AA Batter of the Month: Cy Williams (Albuquerque/House of David), .333, 9 HRs, 31 RBIs.

AA Player of the Week: Willie Crawford (Tulsa/Memphis); Richie Ashburn (Atlantic City/Philadelphia); Harry Stovey (Rochester/Cleveland); Adam Dunn (Nashville/Indianapolis).

Top Prospects

SP: Joe Nuxhall (15, Albuquerque/House of David), 3-0, 2.23 ERA; Larry Dierker (17, Albuquerque/House of David), 3-2, 2.51 ERA; Lew Krausse (21, Troy/New York Gothams), 2-2, 3.08 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, 44 K.
RP: Steve Bedrosian (24, Montgomery/Birmingham), 1-0, 9 Sv, 0.00 ERA; Rick Camp (23, Montgomery/Birmingham), 2-1, 4 H, 3.09 ERA.
C: Frankie Hayes (19, Vancouver/Portland), 314/407/771.
1B: Jimmie Foxx (20, Sacramento/San Francisco), 358/456/821.
2B: Wally Backman (22, San Diego/Los Angeles), 337/419/554.
3B: Bill Sweeney (22, Fort Worth/Detroit), 400/467/550.
SS: Bert Campaneris (22, Albuquerque/House of David), 375/432/675.
OF: Joe Kelley (20, Tulsa/Memphis), 323/404/646; Willie Crawford (17, Tulsa/Memphis), 344/447/583, 11 2B, 21 R; Richie Ashburn (21, Atlantic City/Philadelphia), 379/426/544, 39 H, 3 3B.

Bold indicates league leader.

Spring Training Preview: Chicago

  • The last spot in the rotation will probably come down to either Tricky Nichols or Herb Pennock, with Rube Foster, Mark Buehrle, Lee Meadows, and Ted Lyons as outside candidates.
    • Ed Walsh and Joe Lake still look like the middle of the rotation, but they need to improve, but none of the above have really made their argument, with Buehrle likely falling out of contention.
      • Ben Sheets, Meadows, Lake, and Foster look set for the rotation. But Frank Smith has been horrible, and Lyons is on his way to AAA. Foster could stumble, and Smith could still pull it out, but any of the others could step up as well for that 5th slot.
  • The final bullpen slots will be between that group, Victor Cruz, and Wilbur Wood.
    • Cruz has struggled, and Wood has impressed, as have Koji Uehara, Fernando Rodney, and Ken Sanders, but nothing is settled in the bullpen behind AJ Minter.
      • Uehara and Akinori Otsuka have been very strong, and Wood is off to AAA. This has the makings of a very fine bullpen.
  • Carlton Fisk is set at C, but it’s not clear if Hal King, Dave Nilsson, or (less likely) Pop Snyder back him up.
    • Snyder was sent down to AAA.
  • SS is pretty open, with Chico Carrasquel holding a slight edge over Luke Appling and Julio Gotay.
    • If any of these could hit a lick, they could seize the role.
  • Not all of Rocky Colavito, Cristobal Torriente, Avisail Garcia, and Minnie Minoso will make the team, but at least 2 of them should.
    • Colavito has struggled mightily, earning a move to AAA. Of this group, Minoso has probably impressed the most.
      • Ah, Spring Training! Minoso is now struggling to make the roster.
  • Frank Thomas has struggled mightily, allowing both Adrian Gonzalez and Bob Watson to push into the conversation.
    • 1B continues to be a muddle: Thomas is hitting better, but both Gonzalez and Jose Abreu are smacking the ball.
  • With a need for additional bodies to play 2B and 3B (and a real possibility of edging Nellie Fox as the reserve 2B), Chicago recalled Rickie Weeks and Joe Crede from AAA Milwaukee.
    • Weeks has moved up in the pecking order, with both Fox and Crede likely to start the season in AAA.
Near DefiniteLikelyPossibleLong Shot
Starting PitchersBen Sheets
Joe Lake
Lee Meadows
Rube FosterEd Walsh
Frank Smith
Tricky Nichols
Herb Pennock
Mark Buehrle
Middle RelieversVictor Cruz
SetupAkinori Otsuka
Koji Uehara
Ken Sanders
Fernando Rodney
CloserAJ Minter
CCarlton FiskHal King
Dave Nilsson
1BFrank ThomasAdrian Gonzalez
Jose Abreu
2BEddie CollinsRickie WeeksNellie Fox
3BDick AllenRobin VenturaJoe Crede
SSChico Carrasquel
Luke Appling
Julio Gotay
OFJoe Jackson
Mike Fiore
Kevin Mitchell
Duffy Lewis
Cristobal Torriente
Avisail Garcia
Bob Watson
Minnie Minoso

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