Baseball The Way It Never Was

Tag: Tom Egan

TWIWBL 67.1: Year 2, Week 10

June 4th

We’ve entered June, so we’re clearly heading towards our midseason stride.

#Awards

Since we cross into June we have a bevy of awards.

In the AL, the New York Black YankeesBabe Ruth was named the Batter of the Month, hitting .347 with 15 homers in May, driving in 34 and scoring 30 times. And look, that’s impressive. But Ruth’s reputation certainly helped him with the honor, given that he had the 3rd best OPS in the AL for the month, trailing behind Miami‘s José Canseco (1.430) and Detroit‘s Ty Cobb (1.429). Canseco also had more homeruns, leading the WBL for the month with 18. Ruth’s RBI and R numbers did lead the league, and it is hard to argue against his numbers.

In the NL, the award went to Ottawa‘s Larry Walker for the second consecutive month. Walker hit .273 with 17 dingers and a whopping 38 RBI, but his selection wasn’t unanimous. Looking at just the major slash stats, his BA was eclipsed by Houston‘s Tony Gwynn, who hit .441 for the month; his OBP by Homestead‘s Josh Gibson, who led the NL with a .480 mark; and Gibson’s teammate Mike Epstein SLG mark of .833 SLG eclipsed Walker’s .818. But Walker’s HR and RBI numbers led the league by a lot, and 38 RBI in 26 games is just remarkable.

The Black Yankees doubled it up, with Ron Guidry winning the AL Pitcher of the Month, going 6-0 with a 1.73 ERA in May while in the NL, Rob Dibble of the Indianapolis ABC‘s was a bit of a surprise selection. Dibble went 2-0 with a 1.64 ERA and 8 saves, certainly a strong performance. You really can’t quibble with Guidry’s selection, but Dibble was selected over San Francisco‘s Lefty Grove (5-1, 1.18) and Brooklyn‘s Smokey Joe Williams (4-1, 2.16). Homestead’s Josh Lindblom had more saves than Dibble (11 to 8), but Lindblom’s other numbers weren’t nearly as impressive. Still, if it were up to me, the award would have gone to Grove.

There’s just not a lot to say about Julio Rodríguez other than wow. Miami’s surprise starter in CF leaving Spring Training hit .397 with 13 homeruns in the month, earning the AL Rookie of the Month. Over in the NL, the award went to Smokey Joe Williams, who, as mentioned above, was in the running for the overall award, let alone the rookie honor.

Player of the Week Awards were given out as well, although overshadowed by the larger honors for May.

Philadelphia‘s Aaron Judge has continued to develop from his impressive showing last season, and a recent hot streak where he hit .444 with 3 homeruns earned him the NL Player of the Week. Canseco was significantly hotter, hitting .636 with 5 homeruns to earn the AL award for the second consecutive week, perhaps some comfort against being snubbed for the monthly honor for May.

#Team Performance

Last week I wrote The New York Black Yankees and the Indianapolis ABC’s have each gone 8-2 over their last 10 games. This week, it’s still true. New York now leads Cleveland in the Bill James Division by 6.5 games, while Indianapolis has moved into 1st place in the Marvin Miller Division, leading Kansas City by .5 games.

San Francisco has a little more breathing room in the Cum Posey Division, leading Chicago by 5.5 games and the surprising Miami Cuban Giants by 6. The Effa Manley Division is still tight, with all 5 teams separated by only 4.5 games, from Homestead in 1st to Philadelphia and Ottawa in a virtual tie for 5th.

Detroit continues to flounder, going 2-8 in their last 10 games and plummeting to 13.5 games behind the Black Yankees.

#Player Performance

Batters

A shorter list: Ty Cobb is first or second in each of the slash categories, and he, Larry Walker, and José Canseco are all challenging Babe Ruth‘s historical dominance of the league.

Cobb and Tony Gwynn are still well over .400 as the calendar turns to June.

José Canseco (MCG). 304/421/881. 29 HR.
Oscar Charleston (IND). 333/390/611. 7 3B.
Ty Cobb (DET). 420/471/862. 79 H, 28 2B, 4.0 WAR.
Josh Gibson (HOM). 382/447/742. 48 R.
Tony Gwynn (HOU). 427/463/683. 85 H.
Pete Hill (HOU). 282/366/505. 8 3B.
Stan Musial (KCM). 312/382/540. 29 2B.
Babe Ruth (NYY). 307/426/743. 66 RBI, 55 R, 44 BB, 3.7 WAR.
Larry Walker (OTT). 318/394/764. 26 HR, 61 RBI.

It often feels like the SB leaders should be handled separately: San Francisco’s Rickey Henderson leads the WBL with 42 steals. Indianapolis’ Bob Bescher has moved into 2nd place with 32 (and only 6 CS) while Ottawa’s Tim Raines has 30. Raines’ struggles at the plate are clearly contributing to his not challenging Henderson this year: while Rickey’s has an OBP just under .400 at .392, Raines is way down at .332.

Pitchers

Starters

Indianapolis’ Luis Padrón leads the league at 9-1, with Houston’s Toad Ramsey (9-2) and the Black Yankees’ Ron Guidry (8-1) close behind. Six pitchers have 7 wins, we’ve only included below the 3 that have only 1 or 2 losses. Also included are all 3 starters with sub-3.00 ERA’s (Ramsey, Philadelphia’s Hardie Henderson, and Los AngelesDoc Gooden).

Frank Castillo (KCM). 7-1, 3.88.
Johnny Cueto (IND). 7-1, 3.43.
Doc Gooden (LAA). 5-4, 2.92.
Lefty Grove (SFS). 7-4, 3.13. 92 IP, 2.7 WAR.
Ron Guidry (NYY). 8-1, 3.17. 99 K, 3.39 FIP, 2.7 WAR.
Hardie Henderson (PHI). 6-3, 2.83.
Luis Padrón (IND). 9-1, 3.66.
Eddie Plank (SFS). 7-2, 3.94.
Toad Ramsey (HOU). 9-2. 2.69. 87 IP, 108 K, 0.93 WHIP, 2.66 FIP, 3.8 WAR.
JM Ward (PHI). 2-1, 3.46. 1.00 WHIP.

Relievers

There really isn’t a dominant closer in the WBL this season–the league leaders in saves have given up a bunch of runs; the dominant performers haven’t been racking up the saves. Indianapolis’ Rob Dibble is probably the best of the group. Kansas City’s Craig Kimbrel, tied with the Black Yankees’ Rheal Cormier for the league lead in Holds, has probably been the best bullpen performer overall so far, and is pushing teammate Jeff Pfeffer for a shot at the closer spot.

13 IP minimum.

Rheal Cormier (NYY). 0-0, 2.84. 9 H.
Rob Dibble (IND). 2-1, 3.06. 12 Sv.
Rod Beck (SFS). 2-2, 4.91. 14 Sv.
Craig Kimbrel (KCM). 1-0, 1.10. 1 Sv, 9 H.
Josh Lindblom (HOM). 3-1, 3.80. 15 Sv.
Tug McGraw (HOU). 2-2, 1.26. 1 Sv.
Jeff Pfeffer (KCM). 1-2, 6.16. 12 Sv.

Some mention somewhere should be made of Brooklyn’s Fernando Valenzuela, who is 3-0 with a 1.98 ERA and 4 Holds in over 40 innings. The Royal Giants have a very strong rotation, and Valenzuela is still looking for his first opportunity to step into a starting role.

#Injury Report

Will this week be the long awaited reckoning for Chicago’s Jack Doyle? The return of SS Damian Jackson, expected at the end of the week, may be the final nail in Doyle’s WBL service time.

#A Ball Check In

Wrapping up our 3 week trip through the minors, we’ll examine A ball this week. Given A ball’s focus on youth, we won’t have an age division, instead just presenting the top 2 performers at each position. 100 A PA minimum for batters.

Pos
CLew Brown (22, KCM). 331/369/633.Tom Egan (20, PHI). 279/353/545.
1BBabe Herman (21, LAA). 246/325/515.Aubrey Huff (22, CLE). 254/330/443.
2BTim Shinnick (21, NYG). 316/416/424.Ron Jackson (23, NYG). 240/352/473.
SSAlfredo Griffin (19, DET). 333/389/454.Dick Schofield (22, HOM). 260/395/360.
3BSteve Hertz (20, HOM). 276/350/579.Bob Aspromonte (18, IND). 263/351/444.
LFBill Buckner (20, MEM). 415/443/694.Pip Koehler (24, HOD). 286/385/519.
CFOdúbel Herrera (22, PHI). 319/394/610.Clyde Milan (22, NYY). 316/445/480.
RFHugh Duffy (20, POR). 283/231/530.Marquis Grissom (23, MCG). 279/376/430.
SPSean Newcomb (24, NYY). 4-1, 2.54.
Clayton Kershaw (19, HOM). 4-2, 2.48.
Frank Dwyer (21, HOD). 6-1, 1.58.
Jim McElroy (21, PHI). 4-1, 1.65.
RPJoe Edelin (24, NYY). 1-0, 1.77. 14 Sv.Mélido Pérez (20, NYY). 3-1, 2.05. 9 Sv, 4 H.

Griffin and Kershaw standout as the only teenagers listed. The Gothams have two 2B listed, although Washington is really spending more time at SS. And, Memphis’ Bill Buckner, although currently out for a couple of weeks through injury, is just dominating the league in most categories. Of this group, he, Kershaw, and Herman are probably the best long term prospects.

Year II Season Preview: Philadelphia Stars

Expectations

For all the noise around Miami and Ottawa, it was Philadelphia who ended up with the worst record in the league. Anything approaching .500 would be a significant step forward.

Best Case

Overall number 1 pick Bullet Joe Rogan pairs with Steve Carlton to anchor the rotation and the offense improves overall, with both Bobby Abreu and Aaron Judge taking significant steps forward (and the Stars figuring out how to get both of them in the lineup at the same time).

Worst Case

Rogan struggles, as do Hardie Henderson and Ray Collins, leaving the staff as poor as last season and the aging bats–Rico Carty, Ted Kluszewski, Buck Freeman–lose more productivity than is gained elsewhere.

Key Questions

  • What does the bullpen look like?
  • How does the OF resolve, and most importantly how much of Aaron Judge‘s debut performance was a mirage?
  • Can the flashes of talent on the IF shown last year from Juan Samuel and Roger Peckinpaugh deliver over a full season?

Trade Bait

All of the older talent, including the puzzling FA signee John Titus, could be moved on, with Buck Freeman perhaps being especially attractive.

Roster Evaluation

POSEliteStrongSolidMehWeakUnknown
CLollarScioscia
1BKluszewskiKillebrew
2BUtley
3BRamírez
Rolen
Ward
SSFletcher
Rollins
LF/
RF
JudgeCarty
Hendrick
Magee
CFDavis
SPCarltonCollinsAlexander
Jackson
Ward
Henderson
Stieb
EndHowryKennedy
RPBelcherGatewood
Katoll
Meyer

Peterson
Rogan
New Addition | Injured

Pretty miserable. Judge is demoted due to playing time. I mean, the good news would be that there is, um, lots of room for improvement?

Talent Ratings

WBLMinors
Raw Power1B Ted Kleszewski
U Harmon Killebrew
U Dolph Camilli
Batting EyeU Harmon KillebrewU Dolph Camilli
Contact1B Ted Kluszewski1B Cecil Cooper
Running SpeedP/OF Charles RoganIF Roger Peckinpaugh
IF Juan Samuel
Base StealingOF Sherry MageeOF Garry Maddox
IF Defense3B Scott RolenIF Pinky May
OF DefenseP/OF Charles RoganSS Wally Gerber
StuffP/OF Charles RoganP Hardie Henderson
ControlRP Bob HowryP Robin Roberts
P Bill Stearns
VelocityRP Bob HowryRP Luke Weaver

Best In The Minors

RankAgePOSName
1 (38)23PBill Gatewood
2 (74)18PChris Archer
3 (76)23UHarmon Killebrew
4 (81)22CBill Dickey
5 (114)22OFRichie Ashburn
6 (122)211BPrince Fielder
7 (127)26PJack Easton
8 (128)19PBruce Hurst
9 (150)23SSRoger Peckinpaugh
10 (167)23PLaTroy Hawkins
Others: P Jack Kralick.

It’s not totally dire, as there is some good mid level talent, and the trio of Killebrew, Dickey, and Ashburn should all come good. Gatewood and Killebrew start the season in the WBL.

MostLeast
AgeU Rico Carty, 37P Chris Archer, 18
HeightP Bill Gatewood, 6’7″
OF Aaron Judge, 6’7″
P Steve Hamilton, 6’7″
P/OF Charles Rogan, 5’7″
C John Clapp, 5’7″
OPSIF Michael Cuddyer, 1.048 (—)IF Johnny Mitchell, .505 (AAA/AA)
HRIF Michael Cuddyer, 46 (—)IF Johnny Mitchell, .1 (AAA/AA)
IF Pinky May, 1 (—)
SBIF Juan Samuel, 36 (WBL/AAA)Many with 0
WAROF Aaron Judge, 4.0 (WBL/AAA)C Tom Egan, -1.4 (AA)
WHardie Henderson, 10 (WBL/AAA)
Larry Jackson, 10 (WBL/AAA)
Robin Roberts, 10 (WBL/AAA)
Scott Mathieson, 1 (—)
Kevin Hagen, 1 (—)
Jerry Casale, 1 (—)
SVBob Howry, 25 (WBL)
ERAAdalberto Mejía, 3.70 (—)Kevin Hagen, 8.57 (—)
WARRay Collins, 2.9 (WBL)Bronson Arroyo, -1.5 (WBL/AAA/AA)
Stats are across all levels. 200 PA / 75 IP min. Non WBL leagues indicated by —.

TWIWBL 24.16: Mid-Season Reviews – Philadelphia Stars

Summary

Meh. It feels like they Stars have underperformed all year, yet they set basically at .500, although with little chance to catch the Black Yankees in the Effa Manley Division.

If you believe that numbers don’t lie, the Stars should be in selling mode, as they rank in the bottom 25% in most categories.

What’s Gone Right

Setups. Ron Reed and Rheal Cormier have been spectacular out of the pen for the stars, with Reed probably the most effective reliever in the league.

The Outfield. Willie Davis has been fantastic in CF, and George Hendrick, Gavvy Cravath, and Rico Carty have been good around him. Cravath and Carty (and solid contributor Buck Freeman) are in their mid-30’s and may be attractive trade bait.

Rolen Along. The decision to trade Mike Schmidt in the preseason cleared the way for Scott Rolen, a decision that looks good right now, with Rolen posting an OPS in the mid .800s with great defense at 3B.

What’s Gone Wrong

The Final Two. The number 4 and 5 starters have been miserable all year. John Montgomery Ward has shown signs of turning it around, but Larry Jackson is really just a shot in the dark after the failures of Don Carman and, most disappointingly, Robin Roberts.

Catching. Bill Dickey was supposed to be the answer behind the plate. He’s at AAA now, and Sherm Lollar is barely acceptable as the full-time backstop.

MI, Oh My. Chase Utley at 2B has been in a mammoth slump, putting his position in doubt. Over at SS, it’s just not possible to field well enough to justify Mickey Doolin‘s offense, and Jimmy Rollins has been even worse as a potential replacement.

Key Storylines

This team is likely to look quite different after the early trades, so the storylines are likely to shift as well. But the pieces–Davis, Hendrick, Cravath, Rolen–are there.

Trading Outlook

SELLING.

This is more because the team feels like it wants a shakeup and there are enough veterans they could get some good talent in return. Just at the big league level, they could be looking to move Carty, Cravath, Cormier, Ron Reed, and Bob Howry.

AAA Shuttle

José Ramírez has done well since his callup, so that’s something. Dickey, Gene Demontreville, and Al Smith have all been sent down, with others to follow soon.

Midseason Changes

Larry Jackson moves into the rotation. OF Sherry Magee and IF Jimmy Rollins head to AAA with Roger Peckinpaugh coming all the way from AA.

Awards

All Stars: Ron Reed (P); Scott Rolen (3B).

Offensive MVP: Willie Davis (CF)
Pitching MVP: Ron Reed (RP)

Down on the Farm

AAA: Norfolk Tides

Next to the Show: RPs Claude Jonnard & Minnie Rojas, 1B Cecil Cooper, OF Aaron Judge, 3B Pinky Whitney

Prospects: OF Bobby Abreu (24)

Projects: 1B Cecil Cooper (31), OF Aaron Judge (26)

Suspects: P Tim Belcher (27), SS Johnny Mitchell (27), P Bronson Arroyo (31).

AA: Atlantic City Bacharach Giants

Prospects: P Ron Tompkins (20), P Scott Garrelts (22), 1B Prince Fielder (21), OF Richie Ashburn (21), SS Roger Peckinpaugh (22)

Projects: C Tom Egan (20).

Suspects: P Pete Mikkelsen (29), OF Earl McNeely (28)

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