Baseball The Way It Never Was

Tag: Dolf Luque

TWIWBL 19.3: Series XVI Notes – Effa Manley Division

#Indianapolis ABC’s

Doc White‘s first start of the season was a successful one with the ABC’s defeating Houston 4-3. White had a shutout through 7 innings, before Jeff Bagwell drove him from the game with his 8th homerun of the year. Rob Murphy and Rob Dibble closed out the game, with Dibble picking up his 10th save.

Dibble got his 11th the next night, preserving a 5-1 victory for Indianapolis. Dolf Luque was masterful, allowing 2 hits and 1 run in over 7 innings, and Bob Bescher drove in 4 runs for the ABC’s.

Octavio Dotel‘s rough, rough stint in the big leagues has moved him back to AAA with Lefty James coming of the DL.

#New York Black Yankees

Dave Righetti‘s miserable outing against Brooklyn (6 runs in under 3 innings, lowering his record to 3-6 and raising his ERA to 6.27) has moved the lefthander out of the rotation for the time being. There’s not much to pick from between Lady Baldwin and Cole Hamels, with both lefty’s expected to get some opportunities as starters.

TWIWBL 17.3: Series XIV Notes – Effa Manley Division

#Cleveland Spiders

John Ellis drove in 5 with 2 homeruns, one a grand slam, and Cy Young threw a complete game allowing only 6 hits as the Spiders beat Miami, 6-2. Young improved to 5-2 on the year.

#Homestead Grays

Hal Carlson will miss just over a month with an elbow injury, prompting Homestead to recall Billy Pierce from AAA. More from necessity than a reward for their performance, both Carlos Zambrano and John Candelaria returned to the starting rotation for the Grays.

Francisco Liriano was recalled from his rehab assignment, with Bartolo Colon returning to AAA.

#Indianapolis ABC’s

Edd Roush went 4-for-4 and Red Faber threw a solid 6+ innings, improving his record to 4-3 as the ABC’s beat the best team in the WBL, Baltimore, 4-2. Roush hit his 2nd homerun of the season and Joe Morgan his 1st, and Rob Dibble pitched a scoreless 9th for his 7th save.

Johnny Bench hit 2 homeruns, and the ABC’s beat the Black Sox 3-1, with Dolf Luque out-dueling Dennis Martinez. Luque improved to 4-5 with 7 strong innings, and Dibble struck out the side for his 8th save of the season.

#New York Black Yankees

New York’s Waite Hoyt started off their series against Philadelphia with a 4 hit shutout, his best performance of the year. Eric Davis and Don Mattingly hit homeruns, and Thurman Munson, Babe Ruth, and Mattingly had 2 hits each as the Black Yankees won, 4-0.

3 hits from Davis, Lou Gehrig, and most surprisingly of all, Willie Randolph–who got his average up to .200 on the day–led the Black Yankees to a 10-3 win over the Stars. Jack Scott improved to 5-3 with 8 strong innings of work for New York.

#Philadelphia Stars

George Hendrick hit 2 homeruns to lead the Stars to a victory over the New York Black Yankees. Perhaps more importantly for Philadelphia, Jaret Wright only allowed 1 run in 7 innings in leveling his record at 2-2.

Series X Preview: Indianapolis ABC’s @ Kansas City Monarchs

This is our first featured series with Indianapolis. Kansas City was featured in Series VIII, where they split 4 games with Los Angeles.

The ABC’s come into the game with a record of 17-20, putting them 7.5 games behind the Black Yankees in the Effa Manley division while Kansas City is at .500, 19-19, 4 games back of Chicago in the Cum Posey division.

Both teams have decent potential to be better than their records, predictably given that, there are a few strong perofrmances, but the teams need more players to step forward.

For the ABC’s, the best of them has been C Johnny Bench, who is hitting at a 281/383/596 clip while adding great defense behind the plate. Nineteen year old Oscar Charleston looks like the real deal as well, slashing 337/360/494 with speed and defense in the outfield. Indianapolis is looking to the return of Joe Morgan from the DL and the institution of Edd Roush into the lineup on the regular to fire up the offense.

But the pitching needs to improve as well: all five starters have an ERA between 3.98 (Rube Foster, 3-2 on the year) and 4.99 (Dolf Luque, 2-4). That means they’ve all been solid, but none spectacular. Rob Dibble has been great on the back end of the bullpen, but Rob Murphy hit hard setting him up.

Kansas City’s record has been more disappointing in some ways: the Monarchs are top 8 in almost all offensive categories in the league (except homeruns, which, of course, matters), and they are first in the advanced pitching metrics–WAR and FIP. They really have two flaws: not enough homeruns, and a defense that has continually let them down.

The Monarchs knew they had a “Big Three” coming into the year, and Stan Musial (380/448/570), Albert Pujols (320/380/503), and Rogers Hornsby (283/367/467) haven’t disappointed. Boog Powell‘s contribution (300/423/473) has been unexpected, and the real key to the offense is if their speedsters–Willie McGee, Lou Brock, Ozzie Smith–can get on base enough to keep the innings going.

The pitching has been a bit less consistent. Frank Castillo (2-4, 3.62) has pitched far better than his record and Andy Pettite (3-2, 3.83) has been solid. But both Rube Marquard and Jose Rijo are in danger of moving out of the rotation, with ERA’s of 5.67 and 6.63 respectively. The bullpen has been pretty fantastic, with the closing trio of Frank DiPino (1 Sv, 1 H, 1.62), Craig Kimbrel (6 H, 2.65), and closer Jeff Pfeffer (3-0, 5 Sv, 2.16) nearly unmatched in the league.

Projected Series Matchups

Indianapolis first: Johnny Cueto (4-2, 4.60) @ Luke Hamlin (2-3, 4.24); David Price (1-1, 4.15) @ Jose Rijo (2-2, 6.63); Rube Foster (3-2, 3.98) @ Andy Pettite (3-2, 3.83); Red Faber (3-2, 4.71) @ Frank Castillo (2-4, 3.62).

The Foster v Pettite matchup is clearly the most intriguing, but there are important questions to be answered about Rijo (can he keep his rotation spot?) and Castillo (can he move into the elite starts in the league?) as well.

Season Preview: Indianapolis ABC’s

The ABC’s are a littler hard to figure: Red Faber, Dolf Luque, and Johnny Cueto have been dominant at the front of the rotation, and Rob Dibble looks excellent as the closer. But there are question marks between them, cushioned by a plethora of talent at AAA. Offensively, there is some high-end talent here, especially in the form of Johnny Bench, but the lineup fizzles out towards the bottom end.

Final Roster

SP: Red Faber, Dolf Luque, Johnny Cueto, David Price, Virgil Trucks.
RP: Bronson Arroyo & Paul Derringer; Lefty James; Rob Murphy & Clay Carroll; Rob Dibble.

C: Johnny Bench; Ernie Lombardi
1BHal Morris
2B: Joe Morgan
3BChase Headley & Ed Charles
SSDavey Concepcion; Dennis Menke
LFDanny Hoffman & Bob Bescher
CFDave Henderson; Oscar Charleston
RFPete Rose
DH: Jake Stenzel

Notes

Virgil Trucks displaced Paul Derringer in the rotation and David Price earned the final starting slot … Indianapolis’ desire to keep all 3 of Johnny Bench, Jake Stenzel, and Ernie Lombardi complicates things, clearly costing Miller Huggins a spot despite a decent Spring …21 year old George Foster will start at AAA … Joey Votto looked a lock early in the Spring, but he lost the starting 1B job to Hal Morris … ultimately, carrying all 3 C meant only 11 arms in the bullpen, with Francisco Cordero‘s poor final outings sending him to the minors … there is a lot of rotation in the lineups as the ABC’s try to get playing time for the 3 Cs, as well as teenage phenom Oscar Charleston … that’s in addition to a traditional platoon of Ed Charles and Chase Headley at 3B and Danny Hoffman and Bob Bescher in LF.

35 year old ace SP Red Faber is the oldest player on the roster, and 19 year old Oscar Charleston the youngest.

21 year old Barry Larkin may be the future at SS for Indianapolis, but Joey Votto and Ps Willie Mitchell and Eppa Rixey are most likely to help in the near term from AAA. At AA, 17 year old Willie Montanez is turning heads and both he and 21 year old Rick Manning may move up soon.

Getting to 30: Effa Manley Division

#Cleveland Spiders

The pitching staff seems set with Hank Gastright and Firpo Marberry heading back to the minors. The only real question is the long reliever roles, where 1 or 2 of Hardie Henderson, Sudden Sam McDowell, and Stan Coveleski will make the roster. They’ve all struggled a bit, especially with their control.

Surprisingly, Jim Thome ends up losing the battle at 1B. But 5 players remain on the roster who can play 1B, and all of them were significantly better than Thome during the Spring.

SS is just a desolation for the Spiders: neither Bill Dahlen, Joe Sewell, or Tom Veryzer have hit over .133 or posted an OPS over .360 over the Spring games. Bill Knickerbocker has shown some spark, but it’s only been 10 ABs. Sewell and Veryzer are sent down for now, but a better performance has to come out eventually.

#Homestead Grays

Ray Brown and John Candelaria stay in camp as long relievers, which means Bartolo Colon and Babe Adams are off to the minors.

Josh Lindblom is holding on to the closer role, but Kent Tekulve and Michael Jackson are clearly poised to help out if he falters.

Khalil Greene impressed enough in his stint to beat out Jay Bell for the backup SS role behind Arky Vaughan. The final cut was rough, first of all because Paul Waner‘s short-term injury complicates the situation. Beyond that, Honus Wagner has struggled, but has shown some power, making Phil Garner the final cut for now.

#Indianapolis ABC’s

The ABC’s are one of the few teams to have an embarrassment of riches of starting pitching. It’s great for them, but makes the roster cuts rough. Rob Dibble and Lefty James in the bullpen are locks, as are Red Faber, Dolf Luque, and Johnny Cueto in the rotation. Paul Derringer joins as the 4th starter.

The 5th slot is between Virgil Trucks, David Price, and Bronson Arroyo. But Willie Mitchell and Dixie Leverett would have earned starting positions on other teams: look for their return or for them to be trade bait.

The rest of the cuts were pretty pedestrian, if a little surprising: Barry Larkin was eliminated from the crush of options at SS, Charlie Hemphill just couldn’t do enough in the OF.

#New York Black Yankees

Like Indianapolis, too much starting pitching is a blessing in disguise. Ron Guidry is a lock, along with Red Ruffing and Dave Righetti. Beyond that, 5 pitchers are competing for 4 spots: 2 in the rotation, 2 in the pen. AJ Burnett, Lady Baldwin, Waite Hoyt, and Whitey Ford all deserve another start, while Jack Scott should get some more bullpen innings before the final decision.

It’s complicated by Sparky Lyle and Goose Gossage both being sidelined with injury.

Luckily 4 of the 6 remaining cuts are clear, as Joe Harris, Chris Brown, Hardy Richardson, and Aaron Hill head to AAA. Sam Thompson will join them, but the final cut is difficult, especially as both Red Rolfe and Moose Skowron have torn the cover off the ball in limited action. Skowron has the biggest challenge to make the team, as 1B is well blocked, so he also returns to the minors.

#Philadelphia Stars

There are 2 pending questions on the pitching staff: first, while Monte Ward, Jack Katoll, and Pete Alexander are all on the roster, it’s not clear who starts the season as the 5th starter. Second, Brad Kilby, Rheal Cormier, and Pedro Feliciano are 3 hurlers trying to fill 2 spots.

Mickey Doolin can’t return from injury soon enough; in the meantime, Larry Bowa will start at SS, backed up by Roger Peckingpaugh, with Pat Meares heading to the minors.

Sending both Bobby Abreu and Dusty Baker to AAA clears up a crowded OF, and Cecil Cooper will join them after failing to displace Ted Kluszewski at 1B.

Spring Training Preview: Indianapolis

  • Barring injury, the starting rotation is set, but there are some unknowns in the bullpen where Norm Charlton, Francisco Cordero, and Lefty James are in contention to make the roster.
    • The pitching has been strong, but Tony Mullane has struggled a bit allowing the possibility for one of several contenders to lay claim to the #5 slot. Johnny Cueto, Dolf Luque, and David Price are all yet to allow a run, so we’ll start with those 3.
      • Mullane has been sent to AAA, and Eppa Rixey is now questionable to make the rotation, with Bronson Arroyo, Paul Derringer, Dixie Leveret and Luque joining Cueto and Price in the running.
    • Charlton, Octavio Dotel, and Cordero have all struggled in relief, while Clay Carroll has excelled.
      • Cordero and continues to be on the bubble, and the desire to reduce roster size has sent Charlton to AAA.
  • It’s clear that Johnny Bench and Jake Stenzel will both make the roster, but it’s not clear who will be the starter at C.
    • Both have excelled, so still not clear. Ernie Lombardi has been recalled for depth.
      • Lombardi is also hitting very well: at this point, they’d like to keep all 3 on the opening day roster.
  • Joe Morgan and Miller Huggins are in competition at 2B, as are Piggy Ward and Ed Charles at 3B.
    • Huggins and Morgan are still neck and neck. Given Menke’s ability to fill in at 2B, Lonny Frey is heading back to AAA.
  • SS is a mess: Dennis Menke and Jhonny Peralta have the edge to start, but a great Spring by either Barry Larkin or Dave Concepcion could leapfrog them.
    • Menke and Concepcion lead this race, but nothing is settled yet.
  • Oscar Charleston looks like the real deal, but the OF is crowded. Performances this Spring should shed some light on how the team differentiates between Charlie Hemphill, Edd Roush, Pete Rose, Bob Bescher, George Foster, and Willie Montanez.
    • Charleston has yet to show much of anything, and only Edd Roush is performing worse of the OFers. But only Rose has made enough noise to join Dave Henderson as a likely starter.
      • Charleston has improved dramatically, but other than Roush continuing to struggle and Rose leading the way, little is clear here.
    • Montanez has been moved to AAA to clear some OF room (especially with Hemphill about to return from a few days off), and Chase Headley has been recalled to add some depth at 3B.
      • Headley has been very impressive, and is arguing for a roster spot.
Near DefiniteLikelyPossibleLong Shot
Starting PitchersVirgil Trucks
Red Faber
Willie Mitchell
Eppa Rixey
Johnny Cueto
Dolf Luque
Paul Derringer
David Price
Dixie Leveret
Bronson Arroyo
Middle RelieversOctavio Dotel
Lefty James
Francisco Cordero
SetupRob Murphy
Clay Carroll
CloserRob Dibble
CJohnny Bench
Jake Stenzel
Ernie Lombardi
1BJoey Votto
Hal Morris
2BJoe Morgan
Miller Huggins
3BPiggy Ward
Ed Charles
Chase Headley
SSDennis Menke
Dave Concepcion
Barry Larkin
Jhonny Peralta
OFPete RoseDave Henderson
Bob Bescher
Oscar Charleston
Edd Roush
George Foster
Charlie Hemphill
Danny Hoffman

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