Baseball The Way It Never Was

Tag: Joe Sullivan

Year III Season Preview: Chicago American Giants

{ Whoops, one slipped out of alpha order here … }

State of the Franchise

team logo

Chicago reads offensive production better than almost anyone in the league, knows exactly what it lacks, and spends aggressively to fix it. And then it keeps betting on the wrong arm(s), with it not being clear if the issue is bad luck or poor pitching talent evaluation.

The offense is a genuine strength: a deep, patient, on-base machine built around a Big Four — Joe Jackson, Dick Allen, Eddie Collins, Frank Thomas — that is young, exceptional, and beloved. The willingness to open the checkbook is real too.

Underneath that runs a more dangerous habit: it is possible the organization totally misjudges its overall trajectory. The American Giants read a 2000 first-round playoff exit as leaving them one pitching-fix from a title and acted accordingly. Then 2001 ended 73-89, 4th in the Cum Posey Division, 30 games back, with Thomas’s knee blown out in September to cap it.

So who are they? And are the holes in the club — CF, SS, the mound — a whisker or a chasm away from being filled? 2002 is an evaluation year, shadowed by a franchise player who won’t be back until around June, and watched by a fanbase that has learned a hard lesson.

2001 Revisited

A year ago the verdict was confident: championship contention — the offense is just too good not to warrant it, even if moves need to be made in the pitching corps. Turns out, the offense was far more fragile than it seemed. Chicago scored 829 runs in 2000 and 824 in 2001 — flat, which sounds fine until you remember the whole league’s offense exploded last season, so flat meant a fall from 3rd in the league to 18th. The role-player career years (Mike Fiore anyone? How about Duffy Lewis?) that made the 2000 lineup deep rather than top-heavy regressed almost in unison.

Then the part we’d actually flagged went worse than anticipated. The pitching didn’t fail to improve; it collapsed — 156 more runs allowed, the ace Tricky Nichols gone to ineffectiveness and then a July injury, and then an outright release. The worst case we’d sketched, fringe-bat regression and pitching collapse, arrived together and louder than anyone could predict. Thomas’s ACL injury in September was the final indignity on a season already 30 games gone. There is hope, though: through all of it, Joe Jackson simply raked — 355/410/608 with 68 doubles — and, along with a strong season from Allen and a decent (but far from the heights of 2000) year from Collins, as well as Ed Walsh‘s maturation into a rotation anchor, kept a little hope alive for the future. Hard to hold onto as a team loses 89 games, though.

Key Changes

In: Jay Bell (FA); Travis Jackson (HOU)
Out: Ted Lilly (FA); Trea Turner (HOU)

Opening Day Rookies: Víctor Cruz; Travis Jackson; Alex Reyes; Wilbur Wood

Best Case for 2002

Thomas walks back in healthy around June and the Big Four do what they do, anchoring the contact-and-on-base lineup Chicago built on purpose. The shortstop competition produces a real bat, Cristóbal Torriente‘s season looks like his rookie promise instead of his sophomore crater, Chino Smith forces a constant flow of PA with his bat, and — the eternal if for this franchise — the arms Chicago acquired actually translate this time: Ed Walsh looks dependable as an ace, but they need Waite Hoyt and Mark Buehrle to hold the middle, and the rebuilt bullpen to cohere around A.J. Minter.

Worst Case for 2002

The signature failure repeats. The arms don’t translate — again — Torriente’s .485 sophomore line (that’s OPS, not SLG) turns out to be the real one, shortstop is a hole for the third straight year, and with Thomas out until midseason the offense can’t carry a staff that can’t prevent runs. The bridge collapses into another lost season, the 2003 window slides toward someday, and a fanbase that already spent-for-and-got-burned once loses a little more faith.

Key Questions

  • Can Chicago finally find the right arms? There is great hope that the acquisition of Waite Hoyt helps solidify this, but beyond that it’s largely the same names — Buehrle, Ben Sheets, Herb Pennock. Someone has to step up. The habit is old enough to have a founding scar: in 2000, Chicago dealt the franchise’s brightest light, A. Rube Foster, chasing arms that never delivered — and Foster promptly became exactly what they keep failing to buy, a 200-inning, sub-3.50 ace, these days anchoring a rotation in Kansas City.
  • Which Torriente is real? The 19-year-old is the franchise’s “fifth star” bet: elite outfield glove, a genuine shot at being a useful two-way player, and a bat that swung from real promise to a miserable dumpster fire of a sophomore season. The org wants him to be the answer, and continually resists the call for him to sort out his stroke in the minors.
  • Who plays shortstop? Brought over in trade, Travis Jackson seems to have the opening day spot, but FA signing Jay Bell had a stronger spring, and Freddy Parent remains in the wings.

Roster Evaluation

Tier = the player’s 2001 positional grade (S best → F worst; color coded S A B C D F). Bold names carry a substantive WBL track; italic names are pure projection — a hope, not a grade — with no qualifying track to anchor them.

PosPlayers
CFisk C · Nilsson · Doyle
1BVernon · Thomas A (IL)
2BCollins B · Chino Smith
SSBell · T. Jackson
3BAllen B · Lindstrom
LFJoe Jackson A · Mitchell
CFTorriente F · Stenzel (IL)
RFChino Smith · Colavito
DHMitchell · Thomas A (IL)
SPWalsh B · Hoyt D · Buehrle F · Sheets D · Moyer · Streeter F · Pennock
RPMinter D (CL) · Wood · Reyes · Cruz · W. Smith

It’s a lineup thick with proven bats and gaping holes. A lot rides on whether one of the SS and Chino Smith can fill those. And Thomas hangs over the whole thing in absentia — the captain whose June return reshuffles first base, designated hitter, and the mood of the season.

Talent Ratings

WBLMinors
Raw PowerSS Travis Jackson2B George Grantham
Batting Eye1B Frank Thomas1B Mike Fiore
ContactLF Joe JacksonCF Lance Johnson
Running Speed3B Dick AllenCF Lance Johnson
Base StealingC Jack DoyleSS Joe Sullivan
IF DefenseSS Travis JacksonSS Art Fletcher
OF DefenseLF Cristóbal TorrienteRF Magglio Ordóñez; RF Mike A Marshall
StuffSP Sam StreeterRP Jeff Nelson
ControlRP Wilbur WoodRP Joe Edelen
VelocityRP Alex ReyesRP Raisel Iglesias; RP Josh Hader

Best In The Minors

RankAgePosName
1 (36)25SPJacob deGrom
2 (59)213BFreddie Lindstrom

Graduated to the active roster since the ranked list: Alex Reyes (31), Travis Jackson (64).

A thin list, but there is talent behind. On the mound, deGrom leads a strong contingent with Zack Greinke, Ted Lyons, Harry Buckner, Ricky Bones, and Josh Hader all developing.

A year ago this list ran 7 deep and led with outfielders (Walter Davis, Lenny Dykstra); Dykstra was traded to Birmingham, and only Lindstrom remains (acquired from the Grays last year). The dearth of offensive talent shouldn’t be an issue — shouldn’t.

Superlatives

MostLeast
AgeJamie Moyer, 37Cristóbal Torriente, 19
HeightJeff Nelson, 6’8″Tommy Bond, 5’7″
OPSKevin Mitchell, 1.037Cristóbal Torriente, .485
HRBill D Wilson, 47 (AAA)José Tabata, 0 (AA)
SBEddie Collins, 73
WAR (bat)Joe Jackson, 4.8Duffy Lewis, −1.7
WWaite Hoyt, 11
SVJosh Zeid, 22 (AA)
ERATommy Bond, 3.41 (A)Ben Sheets, 5.88
WAR (pit)Waite Hoyt, 3.1Wayland Dean, −0.3 (A)

Stats across all levels, 2001 season. 200 PA / 75 IP minimum. Non-WBL levels tagged in parentheses.

TWIWBL 91.3: Off Season Review – Chicago American Giants

73 - 89, .451 pct.
4th in Cum Posey Division, 30 GB

Overall

Absolutely miserable year. Just awful, culminating in a bad injury to franchise stalwart Frank Thomas, who won’t be back until near midseason next year.

Some offensive highlights remain, but not enough, and the pitching staff was not only poor, but the organization’s roster moves rarely seemed coherent throughout the season. There are significant organizational concerns at SS, 3B, CF, and RF and everywhere on the mound except, perhaps, closer.

Even with all that, though, the team isn’t very far away from the playoff contender of last season, and the foursome of Eddie Collins, Joe Jackson, Dick Allen, and Thomas have the potential to be as good as any in the league.

But what a disappointing year.

What Went Right

Joe Jackson had another great year, slashing 355/410/608 with 68 doubles and 55 steals. He can just flat out hit.

Frank Thomas was doing Frank Thomas things before the injury, slashing 296/411/580 in 130ish games.

Dick Allen continues to be an excellent offensive force–a little below the other 2, but still, an OPS over .900 and a team leading 41 homeruns is nothing to sneeze at. Allen and Thomas led the team with 98 RBIs.

Eddie Collins fell off a bit from last year’s dizzying heights, but was stil excellent, posting an .800 OPS with 73 steals and 104 runs scored.

Kevin Mitchell emerged as an offensive force, delivering a 1.086 OPS in 250ish PAs. Rocky Colavito was less good, but still solid, about half that time. And Freddie Lindstrom was magnificent to the tune of a 1.114 OPS in even less time.

On the mound, last year’s Rookie of the Year, Ed Walsh, was excellent–far better than his 10-11 record–with a 3.94 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP. And that ends our positive news from the pitching staff.

ALL STARS

Eddie Collins
Frank Thomas
Ed Walsh
MAJOR AWARDS

Eddie Collins, All AL First Team
Frank Thomas, AL 1B Silver Slugger
RECOGNITIONS

Rocky Colavito, AL All Rookie 2nd Team
Joe Jackson, All AL Second Team
Freddie Lindstrom, AL 21 & Under Team; AL All Rookie 2nd Team
Ed Walsh, All AL Third Team
Tom Williams, AL 21 & Under Team
ORGANIZATIONAL AWARDS

Joe Jackson, MVP
Ed Walsh, Pitcher of the Year
Eddie Collins, Heart & Soul
Dick Allen, Fan Favorite

Bill Husted, Minor League Pitcher of the Year
Bill Wilson, Minor League Player of the Year

What Went Wrong

Cristóbal Torriente was perhaps the worst regular offensive player in the WBL. posting a .485 OPS. That’s … horrible. Torriente is only 19, is a defensive whiz, and even had a solid few appearances on the mound. But that OPS is miserable.

Freddy Parent was barely better, and even gold glove level defense doesn’t make up for a 229/272/292 slash line.

Duffy Lewis lost all of the power he showed last year, slugging .331.

And, none of the initial replacements for these players–Mike Cameron, Vernon Wells, Luke Appling–did much either.

And then the pitching … last year’s ace, Tricky Nichols, was miserable until derailed via injury. But a 7.27 ERA over just over 100 IP is not only not good enough for a front of rotation starter, it’s not enough to stay in the WBL.

None of the other starters–Mark Buehrle, Jamie Moyer, Sam Streeter, and Ben Sheets–approached an average level of performance. And the relievers–especially Fernando Rodney, Herb Pennock, and Billy Loes, were equally poor.

Transactions

March

None. Optimism reigned supreme.

July

None. They were too shell shocked to make any moves.

August

At this point it was clear that the season was lost, so a bit of panic set in: starting pitching and future talent, our country for starting pitching and future talent!

IF Jorge Orta, P Hoyt Wilhelm, & 4th Round Pick to NYY for P Waite Hoyt & 5th Round Pick.

Sure. Waite Hoyt looks like a solid WBL starter, making him more valuable than the occasionally unreliable Hoyt Wilhelm.

P Akinori Otsuka, IF Paul Konerko, OF Lenny Dykstra & 3rd Round Pick to BBB for P Sam Streeter, IF Trea Turner & 5th Round Pick.

Very understandable: Streeter and, especially, Turner, hold immense promise and while Konerko and Otsuka were fantastic, they are more likely to decline than improve.

P Joe Lake to IND for OF Jake Stenzel.

CF was such a black hole that this act of desperation makes some sense.

P David Price to HOM for IF Freddie Lindstrom & 2nd Round Pick.

This could be a huge win: a somewhat inconsistent veteran arm for what looks like a fantastic IF prospect plus the pick.

Positional Overview

C

Carlton Fisk is above average here, and likely to remain the backstop for a while.

However, Dave Nilsson was pretty bad as his backup, so look for that to be a bit of an open competition. Michael McKenry hit extremely well in the minors this year, but flopped in a late season callup, Bennie Tate offers a defensive minded option, and the organization still has hopes for the versatility of young Jack Doyle.

1B

This is a challenge. Thomas is supposed to be back around the All Star Break, and clearly takes over here once again. But what do the American Giants do between now and then?

There are a number of 1B who could be available in trade as short-term solutions, so there’s that.

Internally, Chicago signed Dick Wakefield pretty much for this eventuality, but Carlos May, Mike Fiore, and perhaps even Bibb Falk or Walter Davis may offer alternatives.

They could also slide Joe Jackson here–he’s no worse than Thomas defensively–opening an OF spot, specifically RF for Chino Smith.

2B

Eddie Collins all day, even with the dip in performance.

Chino Smith may see some time here, and both Doyle and Turner could fill in as wide-ranging utility players.

Damian Jackson is the best glove in the system, but has struggled in the WBL.

SS

Who knows.

Freddy Parent has been a massive disappointment, despite excellent glove work. But it’s unclear what to do.

My guess is Parent, Joe Sullivan, Danny Murtaugh, and Luke Appling fight it out in the Spring, with Trea Turner a bit of dark horse.

A trade could also be attractive here.

3B

Dick Allen is the incumbent, but Freddie Lindstrom‘s showing last fall could push Allen to either DH or LF.

Joe Crede is a reasonable alternative for depth here as well.

LF/RF

This could be pretty unstable. The contenders are clear: Jackson and Allen and Kevin Mitchell and Chino Smith, as well as Rocky Colavito, with Duffy Lewis still sticking around.

For the first half of the season, assuming Jackson plays a bit at 1B, this is probably Mitchell and Smith, although the better Freddie Lindstrom plays, the more complicated this gets.

Those are the best players in the system, but Bibb Falk, Carson Bigbee, Walter Davis, and Magglio Ordóñez each have some promise.

CF

Long term, perhaps for inexplicable reasons, the American Giants are still committed to Cristóbal Torriente. But they need some help until the teenager is ready. That’s why they brought in Jake Stenzel. But Stenzel was pretty awful in his 30 games, managing only a 240/296/394 slash line.

So if he falters, one of the corner OFers could slide over or Chicago could turn to Lance Johnson, Mike Cameron, or Henry Cotto.

DH

Whichever OFer isn’t on the field, most likely.

SP

Hoo boy.

We have Ed Walsh, and then we have an abyss of question marks.

Waite Hoyt and Ben Sheets are likely to make the rotation. Beyond that, both Mark Buehrle and Sam Streeter have talent but a horrid track record, and Herb Pennock and Joel Horlen are untested. Throw Tricky Nichols, Tom Williams, and Jacob deGrom into the mix as well, and we’ll see what happens during the Spring.

That covers most of the organization, although Harry “Green River” Buckner and the ageless Jamie Moyer may get some looks as well.

RP

AJ Minter should come back as the closer, and Fernando Rodney did enough to hold onto a spot. Beyond that, it’s all a bit jumbled. Clearly the long relievers will come from the list above, but for the rest … Raisel Iglesias, Will Smith, Paul Assenmacher, and Bob Locker could all see some time. None of those four have seen WBL time, so we’ll see.

Draft Outlook

DRAFT PICKS

1st Round: 1
2nd Round: 2
3rd Round: 0
4th Round: 0
5th Round: 3

It could be a decent draft, or this capital could be spent plugging some of the roster holes. It’s not clear which way Chicago will go.

TWIWBL 81.5: Cum Posey Division

TeamW/LPctGB
San Francisco Sea Lions92-51.643
Miami Cuban Giants69-73.48622.5
Los Angeles Angels66-77.46226
Chicago American Giants64-79.44828
Portland Sea Dogs64-79.44828
Cum Posey Division | 9 September

#Chicago American Giants

As Chicago tries to adjust to life without Frank Thomas for the first half of next season, they continue to give different minor leaguers a chance to show what they have. This time, they sent OFs Duffy Lewis and Vernon Wells and IF Luke Appling to AAA, with Carlos May, Joe Sullivan, and Mike Cameron being recalled.

#Miami Cuban Giants

Looking fully recovered, Phenomenal Smith was officially added to the Cuban Giants rotation.

José Canseco broke out of a mini-slump with 2 homeruns, reaching 64 on the season, as the Cuban Giants beat Portland, 9-8.

Freddie Fitzsimmons was recalled from AA, now that Havana’s season is over.

SS Mickey Doolin retired. Doolin spent about half a season as Philadelphia’s regular SS, but his glovework was never enough to overcome truly dreadful hitting.

#Portland Sea Dogs

Minor league pitchers Jeff Russell and Aurelio López both retired.

#San Francisco Sea Lions

Bill Virdon and Mike González both retired, looking to move into coaching.

Jimmie Foxx hit 2 solo shots, helping Eddie Plank improve his record to 18-7 in a 4-2 win over Miami.

Year II Season Preview: New York Gothams

Expectations

A deep playoff run, much like last year.

The Gothams could also benefit from additional depth throughout the organization and, perhaps, by not trading away all their damn picks this year.

Best Case

Either Gaylord Perry or Juan Marichal (or both) step forward, joining Christy Mathewson among the league’s elite; the bullpen continues to dominate; and the offensive pieces that clicked last season–Pete Runnels, Pinky Higgins, Jimmy Sheckard, Johnny Callison–continue to do so (or are covered through increased performance/playing time for George Van Haltren or Carl Furillo in the OF).

Worst Case

The bullpen falters, and only Matty remains viable as a starter while everyone not named Willie Mays and Buster Posey struggles offensively.

Key Questions

  • Like so many other teams, the rotation is key.
  • The infield feels fragile, so how that plays out will bear watching.
  • How will the Gothams get PA’s for Benny Kauff?

Trade Bait

The Gothams do have a lot of OFers lying around, but it’s not clear who is actually surplus to requirements. With Kauff’s emergense, perhaps one of the Sheckard / Callison / Van Haltren group, or maybe last year’s 4th OF, Carl Furillo?

Instead, in an attempt to solve their MI issue, the Gothams obtained Davey Concepción, who promptly disappointed and was jettisoned to the minors.

Roster Evaluation

POSEliteStrongSolidMehWeakUnknown
CPoseyWestrum
1BAdcockClark
2BRunnelsDoyle
3BHigginsSuárez
SSCrawford
LF/
RF
CallisonVan Haltren
Sheckard
Furillo
CFMaysKauff
SPMathewsonPerryMarichal
Waddell
EndNorris
Wilson
Nen
Smith
Percival
RPHowe
Sutton
Hubbell
New Addition | Injured

There’s a chance, right? A few improvements, and the Gothams could be in the mix.

Talent Ratings

WBLMinors
Raw PowerCF Willie MaysOF Wally Berger
IF Jim Ray Hart
Batting EyeC Wes WestrumC Dick Dietz
ContactIF Pete Runnels1B Bill Terry
Running SpeedOF Jimmy SheckardOF Charlie Hamburg
IF Pat Listach
IF Freddie Patek
IF Tim Shinnick
OF Kyle Tucker
Base StealingOF George Van HaltrenIF Hap Myers
IF Tim Shinnick
IF DefenseIF Eugenio SuárezIF Neifi Pérez
OF DefenseCF Willie MaysOF Jo-Jo Moore
StuffSP Christy MathewsonP William VanLandingham
ControlP Juan MarichalP Al Spalding
VelocityRP Robb Nen
RP Troy Percival
P Rick Helling

Best In The Minors

RankAgePOSName
1 (53)24PMasahiro Tanaka
2 (56)19OFKyle Tucker
3 (60)22PWilliam VanLandingham
4 (86)25PAl Spalding
5 (104)22SSJoe Sullivan
6 (112)23PJordan Montgomery
7 (155)21IFTom Burns
Others: None.

A very weak system in need of some serious replenishment, although Tucker and a couple of the arms should come good eventually.

MostLeast
Age1B Joe Adcock, 391B Bill White, 19
OF Kyle Tucker, 19
HeightP Mat Latos, 6’6″
P Jordan Montgomery, 6’6″
P Carson Smith, 6’6″
IF Freddie Patek, 5’5″
OPSOF Carl Warwick, 1.025 (—)IF Adam Everett, .381 (—)
HRIF Chick Fulmer, 48 (—)C Steve O’Neill, 1 (AAA/AA)
SBOF Jimmy Sheckard, 37 (WBL)Many with 0
WARIF Jim Ray Hart, 5.6 (—)
CF Willie Mays, 5.6 (WBL)
IF Frank Malzone, -5.6 (—)
WChristy Mathewson, 17 (WBL)Lefty Hoerst, 2 (—/AA)
SVBrian Wilson, 29 (WBL)
ERAJoe Bush, 2.86 (—)Matt Cain, 7.68 (AAA)
WARChristy Mathewson, 4.4 (WBL)
Wei-Yin Chen, 4.4 (—)
Lefty Hoerst, 6.20 (—/AA)
Stats are across all levels. 200 PA / 75 IP min. Non WBL leagues indicated by —.

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